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L. Carboni vs M. McDonald prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has M. McDonald winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
M. McDonald
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerOlbiaRound of 32hard court11:00
L. Carboni
L. Carboni
vs
M. McDonald
M. McDonald

Community · Who wins?

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Carboni
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
M. McDonald
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
3 – 7
12 – 11
Sets won – lost
9 – 15
2 losses
Current streak
3 losses
15-19 (44%)
2026 record
17-25 (40%)
8-11 (42%)
Record on hard court
118-101 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Carboni and M. McDonald, before this match.

Recent matches

L. Carboni's last five matches

M. McDonald's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is L. Carboni's first match of the tournament. This is M. McDonald's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by L. van Assche, who beat P. Carreno-Busta in the final (7-6 6-7 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Carboni wins 43 % (6 of 14), M. McDonald 42 % (52 of 124). In deciding sets, L. Carboni wins 50 % of the time (24 matches), M. McDonald 45 % (102 matches). After losing the first set, L. Carboni turned 18 % of matches around (38 occasions), M. McDonald 17 % (147 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Carboni went on to win 76 % of matches, M. McDonald 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Carboni – M. McDonald

Who is the favourite between L. Carboni and M. McDonald?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has M. McDonald winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the L. Carboni – M. McDonald match?
On Monday, 12 October 2026 at 11:00, at the Olbia tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Carboni and M. McDonald?
No meeting between L. Carboni and M. McDonald appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Carboni – M. McDonald?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Olbia

Tournament page

Other matches on 12 October 2026

All matches on 12 October 2026