C. Norrie vs M. Arnaldi prediction
AI prediction
Probability for membersThe model has C. Norrie winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.
- Predicted winner
- C. Norrie
- Probability
- Members only
- Likely score
- Members only
Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.
- 1.62
- Odds
- 2.30
Community · Who wins?
No votes yetVote for the player you think will win. One vote per person, no account needed.
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- 3 – 7
- Wins – losses
- 3 – 7
- 11 – 17
- Sets won – lost
- 9 – 17
- 1 loss
- Current streak
- 3 losses
- 22-22 (50%)
- 2026 record
- 19-19 (50%)
- 110-85 (56%)
- Record on hard court
- 68-75 (48%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by C. Norrie and M. Arnaldi, before this match.
Recent matches
C. Norrie's last five matches
- DD. MedvedevVienna 2026 · Round of 16 · 29 October 20266-4 3-6 6-7
- VF. CerundoloVienna 2026 · Round of 32 · 27 October 20266-4 6-1
- DB. BonziLyon (France) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 20 October 20263-6 6-3 3-6
- DD. SvrcinaShanghai 2026 · Round of 128 · 8 October 20263-6 6-3 4-6
- DA. ZverevBeijing 2026 · Round of 32 · 1 October 20266-7 4-6
M. Arnaldi's last five matches
- DL. DarderiVienna 2026 · Round of 32 · 26 October 20265-7 2-6
- DL. MusettiLyon (France) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 19 October 20261-6 4-6
- DT. FritzShanghai 2026 · Round of 64 · 10 October 20265-7 4-6
- VB. TomicShanghai 2026 · Round of 128 · 8 October 20266-3 6-1
- DC. AlcarazTokyo 2026 · Round of 16 · 3 October 20266-7 1-6
Head-to-head since 2020
M. Arnaldi leads 1 to 0- DM. ArnaldiATP US Open 2023 · Round of 32 · 2 September 20233-6 4-6 3-6
Road through the tournament
This is C. Norrie's first match of the tournament. This is M. Arnaldi's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat F. Auger-Aliassime in the final (6-4 7-6).
Key numbers
In tie-breaks, C. Norrie wins 49 % (75 of 152), M. Arnaldi 57 % (69 of 121). In deciding sets, C. Norrie wins 55 % of the time (120 matches), M. Arnaldi 52 % (124 matches). After losing the first set, C. Norrie turned 24 % of matches around (138 occasions), M. Arnaldi 25 % (134 occasions). After winning the first set, C. Norrie went on to win 83 % of matches, M. Arnaldi 79 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about C. Norrie – M. Arnaldi
- Who is the favourite between C. Norrie and M. Arnaldi?
- Bookmakers make C. Norrie the favourite, priced at 1.62 against 2.30 for M. Arnaldi. Pronocast's model has C. Norrie winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
- When is the C. Norrie – M. Arnaldi match?
- On Monday, 2 November 2026 at 10:00, at the Paris tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
- What is the head-to-head between C. Norrie and M. Arnaldi?
- Since 2020, M. Arnaldi leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
- Where can I see the prediction for C. Norrie – M. Arnaldi?
- In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Paris
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