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D. Merida Aguilar vs D. Medvedev prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has D. Medvedev winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
D. Medvedev
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPViennaRound of 32hard court
D. Merida Aguilar
D. Merida Aguilar
vs
D. Medvedev
D. Medvedev
4.25
Odds
1.22

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Merida Aguilar
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
D. Medvedev
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
9 – 1
15 – 12
Sets won – lost
18 – 5
1 loss
Current streak
3 wins
40-21 (66%)
2026 record
48-17 (74%)
35-31 (53%)
Record on hard court
200-68 (75%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Merida Aguilar and D. Medvedev, before this match.

Recent matches

D. Merida Aguilar's last five matches

D. Medvedev's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

D. Medvedev leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is D. Merida Aguilar's first match of the tournament. This is D. Medvedev's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat A. Zverev in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Merida Aguilar wins 43 % (22 of 51), D. Medvedev 53 % (82 of 156). In deciding sets, D. Merida Aguilar wins 57 % of the time (67 matches), D. Medvedev 60 % (107 matches). After losing the first set, D. Merida Aguilar turned 22 % of matches around (92 occasions), D. Medvedev 34 % (122 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Merida Aguilar went on to win 84 % of matches, D. Medvedev 91 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Merida Aguilar – D. Medvedev

Who is the favourite between D. Merida Aguilar and D. Medvedev?
Bookmakers make D. Medvedev the favourite, priced at 1.22 against 4.25 for D. Merida Aguilar. Pronocast's model has D. Medvedev winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the D. Merida Aguilar – D. Medvedev match?
On Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 10:00, at the Vienna tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Merida Aguilar and D. Medvedev?
Since 2020, D. Medvedev leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Merida Aguilar – D. Medvedev?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Vienna

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 October 2026

All matches on 28 October 2026