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J. Ostapenko vs J. Pegula prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has J. Pegula winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
J. Pegula
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTAWuhanRound of 32hard court08:00
J. Ostapenko
J. Ostapenko
vs
J. Pegula
J. Pegula

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Ostapenko
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
J. Pegula
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
8 – 2
12 – 11
Sets won – lost
16 – 9
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
23-17 (57%)
2026 record
49-13 (79%)
89-69 (56%)
Record on hard court
181-70 (72%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Ostapenko and J. Pegula, before this match.

Recent matches

J. Ostapenko's last five matches

J. Pegula's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Pegula leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is J. Ostapenko's first match of the tournament. This is J. Pegula's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Gauff, who beat J. Pegula in the final (6-4 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Ostapenko wins 52 % (26 of 50), J. Pegula 54 % (45 of 84). In deciding sets, J. Ostapenko wins 60 % of the time (98 matches), J. Pegula 66 % (121 matches). After losing the first set, J. Ostapenko turned 30 % of matches around (105 occasions), J. Pegula 36 % (120 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Ostapenko went on to win 82 % of matches, J. Pegula 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Ostapenko – J. Pegula

Who is the favourite between J. Ostapenko and J. Pegula?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has J. Pegula winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the J. Ostapenko – J. Pegula match?
On Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 08:00, at the Wuhan tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Ostapenko and J. Pegula?
Since 2020, J. Pegula leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Ostapenko – J. Pegula?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Wuhan

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 October 2026

All matches on 14 October 2026