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L. Darderi vs M. Arnaldi prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has M. Arnaldi winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
M. Arnaldi
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPViennaRound of 32hard court
L. Darderi
L. Darderi
vs
M. Arnaldi
M. Arnaldi
1.90
Odds
1.90

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Darderi
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
M. Arnaldi
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
3 – 7
13 – 14
Sets won – lost
10 – 17
3 losses
Current streak
2 losses
34-24 (59%)
2026 record
19-18 (51%)
32-44 (42%)
Record on hard court
68-74 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Darderi and M. Arnaldi, before this match.

Recent matches

L. Darderi's last five matches

M. Arnaldi's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

This is L. Darderi's first match of the tournament. This is M. Arnaldi's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat A. Zverev in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Darderi wins 52 % (64 of 122), M. Arnaldi 57 % (69 of 121). In deciding sets, L. Darderi wins 62 % of the time (107 matches), M. Arnaldi 52 % (124 matches). After losing the first set, L. Darderi turned 22 % of matches around (153 occasions), M. Arnaldi 26 % (133 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Darderi went on to win 88 % of matches, M. Arnaldi 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Darderi – M. Arnaldi

Who is the favourite between L. Darderi and M. Arnaldi?
Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: L. Darderi is priced at 1.90, M. Arnaldi at 1.90. Pronocast's model has M. Arnaldi winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the L. Darderi – M. Arnaldi match?
On Monday, 26 October 2026 at 19:00, at the Vienna tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Darderi and M. Arnaldi?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Darderi – M. Arnaldi?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Vienna

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 October 2026

All matches on 26 October 2026