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L. Draxl vs D. Ostapenkov prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has L. Draxl winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
L. Draxl
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerSioux Fallshard courtTime to be confirmed
L. Draxl
L. Draxl
vs
D. Ostapenkov
D. Ostapenkov

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Draxl
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
D. Ostapenkov
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
16 – 9
Sets won – lost
14 – 9
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
37-24 (61%)
2026 record
18-11 (62%)
86-58 (60%)
Record on hard court
14-8 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Draxl and D. Ostapenkov, before this match.

Recent matches

L. Draxl's last five matches

D. Ostapenkov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is L. Draxl's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, D. Ostapenkov beat Q. Vandecasteele (6-4 6-4), then G. Young (6-2 3-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Kypson, who beat J. Monday in the final (6-7 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Draxl wins 50 % (36 of 72), D. Ostapenkov 67 % (10 of 15). In deciding sets, L. Draxl wins 63 % of the time (78 matches), D. Ostapenkov 73 % (11 matches). After losing the first set, L. Draxl turned 24 % of matches around (87 occasions), D. Ostapenkov 25 % (12 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Draxl went on to win 86 % of matches, D. Ostapenkov 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Draxl – D. Ostapenkov

Who is the favourite between L. Draxl and D. Ostapenkov?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has L. Draxl winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the L. Draxl – D. Ostapenkov match?
On Thursday, 29 October 2026, at the Sioux Falls tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between L. Draxl and D. Ostapenkov?
No meeting between L. Draxl and D. Ostapenkov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Draxl – D. Ostapenkov?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Sioux Falls

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 October 2026

All matches on 29 October 2026