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L. Fernandez vs E. Mertens prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has L. Fernandez winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
L. Fernandez
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTATokyohard courtTime to be confirmed
L. Fernandez
L. Fernandez
vs
E. Mertens
E. Mertens

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Fernandez
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
E. Mertens
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
16 – 11
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
1 win
27-26 (51%)
2026 record
34-22 (61%)
117-79 (60%)
Record on hard court
120-80 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Fernandez and E. Mertens, before this match.

Recent matches

L. Fernandez's last five matches

E. Mertens's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

L. Fernandez leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is L. Fernandez's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, E. Mertens beat M. Uchijima (6-4 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Bencic, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Fernandez wins 49 % (39 of 79), E. Mertens 54 % (32 of 59). In deciding sets, L. Fernandez wins 53 % of the time (94 matches), E. Mertens 49 % (87 matches). After losing the first set, L. Fernandez turned 18 % of matches around (130 occasions), E. Mertens 23 % (120 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Fernandez went on to win 88 % of matches, E. Mertens 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Fernandez – E. Mertens

Who is the favourite between L. Fernandez and E. Mertens?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has L. Fernandez winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the L. Fernandez – E. Mertens match?
On Wednesday, 28 October 2026, at the Tokyo tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between L. Fernandez and E. Mertens?
Since 2020, L. Fernandez leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Fernandez – E. Mertens?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 October 2026

All matches on 28 October 2026