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L. Giustino vs M. Vrbensky prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has L. Giustino winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
L. Giustino
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerMaiaRound of 16clay13:30
L. Giustino
L. Giustino
vs
M. Vrbensky
M. Vrbensky

Community · Who wins?

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Giustino
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
M. Vrbensky
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
2 – 8
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
8 – 17
1 loss
Current streak
1 win
27-23 (54%)
2026 record
6-16 (27%)
84-103 (45%)
Record on clay
64-76 (46%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Giustino and M. Vrbensky, before this match.

Recent matches

L. Giustino's last five matches

M. Vrbensky's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

L. Giustino leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is L. Giustino's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, M. Vrbensky beat P. Schoen (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Moller, who beat A. Martin in the final (6-4 6-1).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Giustino wins 48 % (43 of 90), M. Vrbensky 56 % (27 of 48). In deciding sets, L. Giustino wins 46 % of the time (102 matches), M. Vrbensky 49 % (57 matches). After losing the first set, L. Giustino turned 12 % of matches around (141 occasions), M. Vrbensky 12 % (91 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Giustino went on to win 80 % of matches, M. Vrbensky 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Giustino – M. Vrbensky

Who is the favourite between L. Giustino and M. Vrbensky?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has L. Giustino winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the L. Giustino – M. Vrbensky match?
On Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 13:30, at the Maia tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between L. Giustino and M. Vrbensky?
Since 2020, L. Giustino leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Giustino – M. Vrbensky?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Maia

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 October 2026

All matches on 14 October 2026