M. Arnaldi vs L. Musetti prediction
AI prediction
Probability for membersThe model has L. Musetti winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.
- Predicted winner
- L. Musetti
- Probability
- Members only
- Likely score
- Members only
Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.
Community · Who wins?
No votes yetVote for the player you think will win. One vote per person, no account needed.
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- 4 – 6
- Wins – losses
- 5 – 5
- 12 – 16
- Sets won – lost
- 14 – 11
- 1 loss
- Current streak
- 2 losses
- 19-17 (53%)
- 2026 record
- 18-11 (62%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Arnaldi and L. Musetti, before this match.
Recent matches
M. Arnaldi's last five matches
- DT. FritzShanghai 2026 · Round of 64 · 10 October 20265-7 4-6
- VB. TomicShanghai 2026 · Round of 128 · 8 October 20266-3 6-1
- DC. AlcarazTokyo 2026 · Round of 16 · 3 October 20266-7 1-6
- VR. SakamotoTokyo 2026 · Round of 32 · 30 September 20262-6 6-4 6-4
- DJ. DuckworthUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 31 August 20267-5 3-6 2-6 6-7
L. Musetti's last five matches
- DY. ZhouShanghai 2026 · Round of 64 · 9 October 20266-7 6-3 6-7
- DD. SweenyUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 September 20266-3 1-6 2-6 2-6
- VA. FeryUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 1 September 20266-3 6-3 7-5
- DF. TiafoeCincinnati 2026 · Quarter-final · 22 August 20266-7 5-7
- VJ. FariaCincinnati 2026 · Round of 16 · 20 August 20267-5 6-2
Head-to-head since 2020
L. Musetti leads 3 to 0- DL. MusettiAustralian Open 2025 · Round of 128 · 14 January 20256-7 6-4 6-7 3-6
- DL. MusettiATP Bastad 2023 · Round of 16 · 19 July 20233-6 6-4 6-7
- DL. MusettiATP Rome 2023 · Round of 64 · 14 May 20234-6 4-6
Road through the tournament
This is M. Arnaldi's first match of the tournament. This is L. Musetti's first match of the tournament.
Key numbers
In tie-breaks, M. Arnaldi wins 57 % (69 of 121), L. Musetti 53 % (66 of 125). In deciding sets, M. Arnaldi wins 52 % of the time (124 matches), L. Musetti 62 % (111 matches). After losing the first set, M. Arnaldi turned 26 % of matches around (132 occasions), L. Musetti 30 % (162 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Arnaldi went on to win 79 % of matches, L. Musetti 87 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about M. Arnaldi – L. Musetti
- Who is the favourite between M. Arnaldi and L. Musetti?
- No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has L. Musetti winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
- When is the M. Arnaldi – L. Musetti match?
- On Monday, 19 October 2026 at 10:00, at the Lyon (France) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
- What is the head-to-head between M. Arnaldi and L. Musetti?
- Since 2020, L. Musetti leads 3 to 0 in their direct meetings.
- Where can I see the prediction for M. Arnaldi – L. Musetti?
- In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Lyon (France) - Qualification
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