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M. Frech vs I. Swiatek prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has I. Swiatek winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
I. Swiatek
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTAWuhanRound of 32hard court04:00
M. Frech
M. Frech
vs
I. Swiatek
I. Swiatek

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Frech
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
I. Swiatek
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
10 – 11
Sets won – lost
15 – 7
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
19-25 (43%)
2026 record
38-14 (73%)
95-91 (51%)
Record on hard court
185-48 (79%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Frech and I. Swiatek, before this match.

Recent matches

M. Frech's last five matches

I. Swiatek's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

I. Swiatek leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is I. Swiatek's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Gauff, who beat J. Pegula in the final (6-4 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Frech wins 43 % (32 of 75), I. Swiatek 60 % (36 of 60). In deciding sets, M. Frech wins 50 % of the time (109 matches), I. Swiatek 63 % (84 matches). After losing the first set, M. Frech turned 19 % of matches around (150 occasions), I. Swiatek 36 % (83 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Frech went on to win 81 % of matches, I. Swiatek 94 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Frech – I. Swiatek

Who is the favourite between M. Frech and I. Swiatek?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has I. Swiatek winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the M. Frech – I. Swiatek match?
On Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 04:00, at the Wuhan tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Frech and I. Swiatek?
Since 2020, I. Swiatek leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Frech – I. Swiatek?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Wuhan

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 October 2026

All matches on 14 October 2026