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M. Uchijima vs E. Mertens prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has E. Mertens winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
E. Mertens
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTATokyoRound of 32hard court
M. Uchijima
M. Uchijima
vs
E. Mertens
E. Mertens
4.33
Odds
1.20

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Uchijima
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
E. Mertens
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 13
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
3 losses
27-25 (52%)
2026 record
33-22 (60%)
54-66 (45%)
Record on hard court
119-80 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Uchijima and E. Mertens, before this match.

Recent matches

M. Uchijima's last five matches

E. Mertens's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Mertens leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is M. Uchijima's first match of the tournament. This is E. Mertens's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Bencic, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Uchijima wins 56 % (32 of 57), E. Mertens 54 % (32 of 59). In deciding sets, M. Uchijima wins 49 % of the time (70 matches), E. Mertens 49 % (87 matches). After losing the first set, M. Uchijima turned 18 % of matches around (111 occasions), E. Mertens 23 % (120 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Uchijima went on to win 89 % of matches, E. Mertens 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Uchijima – E. Mertens

Who is the favourite between M. Uchijima and E. Mertens?
Bookmakers make E. Mertens the favourite, priced at 1.20 against 4.33 for M. Uchijima. Pronocast's model has E. Mertens winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the M. Uchijima – E. Mertens match?
On Monday, 26 October 2026 at 05:30, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Uchijima and E. Mertens?
Since 2020, E. Mertens leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Uchijima – E. Mertens?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 October 2026

All matches on 26 October 2026