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T. Paul vs C. Alcaraz prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has C. Alcaraz winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
C. Alcaraz
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPViennahard courtTime to be confirmed
T. Paul
T. Paul
vs
C. Alcaraz
C. Alcaraz

Community · Who wins?

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Paul
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
C. Alcaraz
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
8 – 2
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
19 – 8
1 win
Current streak
1 win
44-20 (69%)
2026 record
33-5 (87%)
139-75 (65%)
Record on hard court
160-39 (80%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Paul and C. Alcaraz, before this match.

Recent matches

T. Paul's last five matches

C. Alcaraz's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

C. Alcaraz leads 7 to 2

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Paul beat A. Rublev (7-5 6-2). To reach this round, C. Alcaraz beat K. Khachanov (6-4 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat A. Zverev in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Paul wins 50 % (79 of 157), C. Alcaraz 61 % (96 of 158). In deciding sets, T. Paul wins 61 % of the time (119 matches), C. Alcaraz 74 % (93 matches). After losing the first set, T. Paul turned 31 % of matches around (133 occasions), C. Alcaraz 48 % (85 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Paul went on to win 86 % of matches, C. Alcaraz 95 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Paul – C. Alcaraz

Who is the favourite between T. Paul and C. Alcaraz?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has C. Alcaraz winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the T. Paul – C. Alcaraz match?
On Friday, 30 October 2026, at the Vienna tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between T. Paul and C. Alcaraz?
Since 2020, C. Alcaraz leads 7 to 2 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Paul – C. Alcaraz?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Vienna

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 October 2026

All matches on 30 October 2026