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A. Li vs E. Alexandrova prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has E. Alexandrova winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
E. Alexandrova
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTATokyoRound of 32hard court
A. Li
A. Li
vs
E. Alexandrova
E. Alexandrova
1.99
Odds
1.78

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Li
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
E. Alexandrova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 9
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
29-26 (53%)
2026 record
20-24 (45%)
89-71 (56%)
Record on hard court
107-82 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Li and E. Alexandrova, before this match.

Recent matches

A. Li's last five matches

E. Alexandrova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Alexandrova leads 3 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is A. Li's first match of the tournament. This is E. Alexandrova's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Bencic, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Li wins 51 % (33 of 65), E. Alexandrova 45 % (43 of 95). In deciding sets, A. Li wins 56 % of the time (86 matches), E. Alexandrova 49 % (99 matches). After losing the first set, A. Li turned 24 % of matches around (119 occasions), E. Alexandrova 21 % (121 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Li went on to win 87 % of matches, E. Alexandrova 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Li – E. Alexandrova

Who is the favourite between A. Li and E. Alexandrova?
Bookmakers make E. Alexandrova the favourite, priced at 1.78 against 1.99 for A. Li. Pronocast's model has E. Alexandrova winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the A. Li – E. Alexandrova match?
On Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 03:00, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Li and E. Alexandrova?
Since 2020, E. Alexandrova leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Li – E. Alexandrova?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 October 2026

All matches on 27 October 2026