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N. Osaka vs J. Paolini prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has N. Osaka winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
N. Osaka
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTATokyoRound of 32hard court
N. Osaka
N. Osaka
vs
J. Paolini
J. Paolini
1.36
Odds
3.00

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

N. Osaka
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
J. Paolini
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
16 – 9
Sets won – lost
11 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
29-11 (73%)
2026 record
22-18 (55%)
71-32 (69%)
Record on hard court
103-77 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by N. Osaka and J. Paolini, before this match.

Recent matches

N. Osaka's last five matches

J. Paolini's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Paolini leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is N. Osaka's first match of the tournament. This is J. Paolini's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Bencic, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, N. Osaka wins 52 % (25 of 48), J. Paolini 58 % (38 of 66). In deciding sets, N. Osaka wins 61 % of the time (57 matches), J. Paolini 62 % (108 matches). After losing the first set, N. Osaka turned 29 % of matches around (52 occasions), J. Paolini 28 % (135 occasions). After winning the first set, N. Osaka went on to win 87 % of matches, J. Paolini 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about N. Osaka – J. Paolini

Who is the favourite between N. Osaka and J. Paolini?
Bookmakers make N. Osaka the favourite, priced at 1.36 against 3.00 for J. Paolini. Pronocast's model has N. Osaka winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the N. Osaka – J. Paolini match?
On Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 03:00, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between N. Osaka and J. Paolini?
Since 2020, J. Paolini leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for N. Osaka – J. Paolini?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 October 2026

All matches on 27 October 2026