A. Tabilo vs D. Merida Aguilar prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

A. TabiloD. Merida Aguilar

49.5 %50.5 %

Model favourite: D. Merida Aguilar
Probability: 50 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 1-2 · D. Merida Aguilar

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPATP Davis Cup - World Group18:20Time to be confirmed

A. Tabilo

D. Merida Aguilar

2199
Elo: 2228; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 7 / 10; 1
Recent matches: 1; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 1.90
Odds: 1.80

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Tabilo

D. Merida Aguilar

6 – 4
Wins – losses: 7 – 3; 15 – 13
Sets won – lost: 16 – 10; 1 loss
Current streak: 1 loss; 37-24 (61%)
2026 record: 39-20 (66%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Tabilo and D. Merida Aguilar, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Merida Aguilar comes in with an Elo of 2228, against 2199 for A. Tabilo: a 29-point edge. A. Tabilo won 6 of the last ten matches, D. Merida Aguilar won 7. A. Tabilo has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Merida Aguilar has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Merida Aguilar the favourite.

The model gave D. Merida Aguilar the win at 50 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Merida Aguilar won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Tabilo's last five matches

DA. ZverevUS Open 2026 · Round of 32 · 6 September 20262-6 6-7 2-6
VA. PopyrinUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 September 20262-6 7-6 7-6 6-2
VY. HanfmannUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 31 August 20266-3 6-2 6-7 6-3
DR. JodarCincinnati 2026 · Round of 32 · 17 August 20262-6 1-6
VJ-L. StruffCincinnati 2026 · Round of 64 · 15 August 20266-3 6-4

D. Merida Aguilar's last five matches

DA. MichelsenUS Open 2026 · Round of 32 · 5 September 20266-7 4-6 3-6
VA. RublevUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 2 September 20266-7 6-2 6-4 6-4
VM. FucsovicsUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 30 August 20266-4 6-4 6-2
DT. FritzCincinnati 2026 · Round of 32 · 18 August 20263-6 4-6
VZ. BergsCincinnati 2026 · Round of 64 · 16 August 20266-3 6-2

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Tabilo beat O. Milic (6-7 6-2 6-4). This is D. Merida Aguilar's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Tabilo wins 48 % (68 of 141), D. Merida Aguilar 43 % (22 of 51). In deciding sets, A. Tabilo wins 54 % of the time (120 matches), D. Merida Aguilar 57 % (65 matches). After losing the first set, A. Tabilo turned 28 % of matches around (141 occasions), D. Merida Aguilar 21 % (91 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Tabilo went on to win 82 % of matches, D. Merida Aguilar 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Tabilo – D. Merida Aguilar

Who is the favourite between A. Tabilo and D. Merida Aguilar?: The match is over: D. Merida Aguilar won 2-1. Bookmakers make D. Merida Aguilar the favourite, priced at 1.80 against 1.90 for A. Tabilo. Pronocast's model had D. Merida Aguilar winning at 50 %.
When is the A. Tabilo – D. Merida Aguilar match?: On Saturday, 19 September 2026, at the ATP Davis Cup - World Group tournament (Unknown). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between A. Tabilo and D. Merida Aguilar?: No meeting between A. Tabilo and D. Merida Aguilar appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Tabilo – D. Merida Aguilar?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions