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D. Dedura vs O. Tarvet prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. DeduraO. Tarvet
27.0 %73.0 %
Model favourite
O. Tarvet
Probability
73 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · O. Tarvet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaQualifyingclay11:15
D. Dedura
D. Dedura
vs
O. Tarvet
O. Tarvet
1965
Elo
2108
2023
Elo on clay
2126
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
2
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.38
Odds
1.22

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Dedura
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
O. Tarvet
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
9 – 1
10 – 14
Sets won – lost
19 – 5
1 win
Current streak
1 win
33-24 (58%)
2026 record
14-5 (74%)
48-40 (55%)
Record on clay
1-0 (100%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Dedura and O. Tarvet, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

O. Tarvet comes in with an Elo of 2108, against 1965 for D. Dedura: a 143-point edge. On clay, the gap is 103 points in favour of O. Tarvet. D. Dedura won 5 of the last ten matches, O. Tarvet won 9. D. Dedura has 2 wins in the last five matches. O. Tarvet has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make O. Tarvet the favourite.

The model gave O. Tarvet the win at 73 %, with a likely score of 2-0. O. Tarvet won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Dedura's last five matches

O. Tarvet's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Dedura beat V. Ursu (6-0 6-7 6-2). To reach this round, O. Tarvet beat M. Erhard (6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Dedura wins 57 % (17 of 30), O. Tarvet 40 % (4 of 10). In deciding sets, D. Dedura wins 55 % of the time (29 matches), O. Tarvet 50 % (10 matches). After losing the first set, D. Dedura turned 14 % of matches around (51 occasions), O. Tarvet 15 % (13 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Dedura went on to win 89 % of matches, O. Tarvet 91 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Dedura – O. Tarvet

Who is the favourite between D. Dedura and O. Tarvet?
The match is over: O. Tarvet won 2-0. Bookmakers make O. Tarvet the favourite, priced at 1.22 against 3.38 for D. Dedura. Pronocast's model had O. Tarvet winning at 73 %.
When is the D. Dedura – O. Tarvet match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 11:15, at the Villena tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between D. Dedura and O. Tarvet?
No meeting between D. Dedura and O. Tarvet appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Dedura – O. Tarvet?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026