Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

D. Dedura vs V. Ursu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. DeduraV. Ursu
82.0 %18.0 %
Model favourite
D. Dedura
Probability
82 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · D. Dedura

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaQualifyingclay11:10
D. Dedura
D. Dedura
vs
V. Ursu
V. Ursu
1958
Elo
1691
2021
Elo on clay
1447
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
2 / 10
1
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.23
Odds
3.74

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Dedura
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
V. Ursu
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
3 – 7
8 – 15
Sets won – lost
7 – 16
2 losses
Current streak
3 losses
32-24 (57%)
2026 record
6-15 (29%)
47-40 (54%)
Record on clay
2-9 (18%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Dedura and V. Ursu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Dedura comes in with an Elo of 1958, against 1691 for V. Ursu: a 266-point edge. On clay, the gap is 574 points in favour of D. Dedura. D. Dedura won 4 of the last ten matches, V. Ursu won 2. D. Dedura has 2 wins in the last five matches. V. Ursu has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Dedura the favourite.

The model gave D. Dedura the win at 82 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Dedura won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Dedura's last five matches

V. Ursu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is D. Dedura's first match of the tournament. This is V. Ursu's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Dedura wins 59 % (17 of 29), V. Ursu 50 % (9 of 18). In deciding sets, D. Dedura wins 54 % of the time (28 matches), V. Ursu 54 % (26 matches). After losing the first set, D. Dedura turned 14 % of matches around (51 occasions), V. Ursu 16 % (58 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Dedura went on to win 89 % of matches, V. Ursu 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Dedura – V. Ursu

Who is the favourite between D. Dedura and V. Ursu?
The match is over: D. Dedura won 2-1. Bookmakers make D. Dedura the favourite, priced at 1.23 against 3.74 for V. Ursu. Pronocast's model had D. Dedura winning at 82 %.
When is the D. Dedura – V. Ursu match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 11:10, at the Villena tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between D. Dedura and V. Ursu?
No meeting between D. Dedura and V. Ursu appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Dedura – V. Ursu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026