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D. Kasatkina vs J. Ostapenko prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has J. Ostapenko winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
J. Ostapenko
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTAWuhanRound of 64hard court04:00
D. Kasatkina
D. Kasatkina
vs
J. Ostapenko
J. Ostapenko

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Kasatkina
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
J. Ostapenko
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
11 – 16
Sets won – lost
12 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
22-20 (52%)
2026 record
23-17 (57%)
104-81 (56%)
Record on hard court
89-69 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Kasatkina and J. Ostapenko, before this match.

Recent matches

D. Kasatkina's last five matches

J. Ostapenko's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Ostapenko leads 4 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Kasatkina beat V. Golubic (4-6 7-6 6-4), then S. Sorribes Tormo (2-6 6-2 6-1). This is J. Ostapenko's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Gauff, who beat J. Pegula in the final (6-4 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Kasatkina wins 43 % (26 of 61), J. Ostapenko 52 % (26 of 50). In deciding sets, D. Kasatkina wins 58 % of the time (111 matches), J. Ostapenko 60 % (98 matches). After losing the first set, D. Kasatkina turned 29 % of matches around (139 occasions), J. Ostapenko 30 % (105 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Kasatkina went on to win 86 % of matches, J. Ostapenko 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Kasatkina – J. Ostapenko

Who is the favourite between D. Kasatkina and J. Ostapenko?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has J. Ostapenko winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the D. Kasatkina – J. Ostapenko match?
On Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 04:00, at the Wuhan tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Kasatkina and J. Ostapenko?
Since 2020, J. Ostapenko leads 4 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Kasatkina – J. Ostapenko?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Wuhan

Tournament page

Other matches on 13 October 2026

All matches on 13 October 2026