D. Medvedev vs A. Bublik prediction
AI prediction
Probability for membersThe model has D. Medvedev winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.
- Predicted winner
- D. Medvedev
- Probability
- Members only
- Likely score
- Members only
Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.
Community · Who wins?
No votes yetVote for the player you think will win. One vote per person, no account needed.
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- L
- L
- W
- W
- L
- 9 – 1
- Wins – losses
- 5 – 5
- 18 – 4
- Sets won – lost
- 15 – 13
- 1 win
- Current streak
- 1 loss
- 46-17 (73%)
- 2026 record
- 30-21 (59%)
- 198-68 (74%)
- Record on hard court
- 95-83 (53%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Medvedev and A. Bublik, before this match.
Recent matches
D. Medvedev's last five matches
- VS. ShimabukuroAlmaty 2026 · Round of 16 · 22 October 20266-2 6-1
- DR. JodarShanghai 2026 · Semi-final · 17 October 20263-6 4-6
- VT. PaulShanghai 2026 · Quarter-final · 16 October 20266-3 1-6 6-3
- VS. TsitsipasShanghai 2026 · Round of 16 · 14 October 20266-4 7-5
- VD. SvrcinaShanghai 2026 · Round of 32 · 12 October 20266-2 6-3
A. Bublik's last five matches
- DA. ZverevShanghai 2026 · Round of 16 · 13 October 20266-7 6-4 6-7
- VB. NakashimaShanghai 2026 · Round of 32 · 11 October 20266-7 6-3 7-6
- VT. MachacShanghai 2026 · Round of 64 · 9 October 20266-4 7-6
- DJ. MensikBeijing 2026 · Round of 32 · 1 October 20264-6 6-7
- DR. JodarATP Laver Cup 2026 · 25 September 20262-6 3-6
Head-to-head since 2020
D. Medvedev leads 4 to 1- DA. BublikHalle 2025 · Final · 22 June 20253-6 6-7
- VA. BublikATP Madrid 2024 · Round of 16 · 30 April 20247-6 6-4
- VA. BublikATP Dubai 2023 · Round of 16 · 1 March 20236-4 6-2
- VA. BublikToronto 2021 · Round of 32 · 10 August 20214-6 6-3 6-4
- VA. BublikOlympic Games 2020 · Round of 64 · 24 July 20216-4 7-6
Road through the tournament
To reach this round, D. Medvedev beat S. Shimabukuro (6-2 6-1). This is A. Bublik's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Medvedev, who beat C. Moutet in the final (7-5 4-6 6-3). D. Medvedev is therefore defending the title.
Key numbers
In tie-breaks, D. Medvedev wins 53 % (82 of 155), A. Bublik 51 % (78 of 153). In deciding sets, D. Medvedev wins 59 % of the time (106 matches), A. Bublik 59 % (103 matches). After losing the first set, D. Medvedev turned 34 % of matches around (121 occasions), A. Bublik 25 % (150 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Medvedev went on to win 91 % of matches, A. Bublik 86 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about D. Medvedev – A. Bublik
- Who is the favourite between D. Medvedev and A. Bublik?
- No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has D. Medvedev winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
- When is the D. Medvedev – A. Bublik match?
- On Saturday, 24 October 2026, at the Almaty tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
- What is the head-to-head between D. Medvedev and A. Bublik?
- Since 2020, D. Medvedev leads 4 to 1 in their direct meetings.
- Where can I see the prediction for D. Medvedev – A. Bublik?
- In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Almaty
Tournament page

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