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D. Medvedev vs C. Alcaraz prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has C. Alcaraz winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
C. Alcaraz
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPViennahard courtTime to be confirmed
D. Medvedev
D. Medvedev
vs
C. Alcaraz
C. Alcaraz

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Medvedev
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
C. Alcaraz
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
8 – 2
18 – 6
Sets won – lost
19 – 8
5 wins
Current streak
1 win
50-17 (75%)
2026 record
33-5 (87%)
202-68 (75%)
Record on hard court
160-39 (80%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Medvedev and C. Alcaraz, before this match.

Recent matches

D. Medvedev's last five matches

C. Alcaraz's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

C. Alcaraz leads 6 to 3

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Medvedev beat D. Merida Aguilar (7-6 6-1), then C. Norrie (4-6 6-3 7-6). To reach this round, C. Alcaraz beat K. Khachanov (6-4 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat A. Zverev in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Medvedev wins 53 % (84 of 158), C. Alcaraz 61 % (96 of 158). In deciding sets, D. Medvedev wins 60 % of the time (108 matches), C. Alcaraz 74 % (93 matches). After losing the first set, D. Medvedev turned 35 % of matches around (123 occasions), C. Alcaraz 48 % (85 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Medvedev went on to win 91 % of matches, C. Alcaraz 95 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Medvedev – C. Alcaraz

Who is the favourite between D. Medvedev and C. Alcaraz?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has C. Alcaraz winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the D. Medvedev – C. Alcaraz match?
On Saturday, 31 October 2026, at the Vienna tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between D. Medvedev and C. Alcaraz?
Since 2020, C. Alcaraz leads 6 to 3 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Medvedev – C. Alcaraz?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Vienna

Tournament page

Other matches on 31 October 2026

All matches on 31 October 2026