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E. Rybakina vs L. Fernandez prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has E. Rybakina winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
E. Rybakina
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTATokyoQuarter-finalhard court
E. Rybakina
E. Rybakina
vs
L. Fernandez
L. Fernandez

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Rybakina
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
L. Fernandez
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
7 – 3
19 – 6
Sets won – lost
16 – 10
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
51-12 (81%)
2026 record
28-26 (52%)
175-57 (75%)
Record on hard court
118-79 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Rybakina and L. Fernandez, before this match.

Recent matches

E. Rybakina's last five matches

L. Fernandez's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Rybakina leads 4 to 2

Road through the tournament

This is E. Rybakina's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, L. Fernandez beat H. Sakatsume (6-2 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Bencic, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Rybakina wins 56 % (62 of 111), L. Fernandez 49 % (39 of 79). In deciding sets, E. Rybakina wins 60 % of the time (125 matches), L. Fernandez 53 % (94 matches). After losing the first set, E. Rybakina turned 39 % of matches around (102 occasions), L. Fernandez 18 % (130 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Rybakina went on to win 89 % of matches, L. Fernandez 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Rybakina – L. Fernandez

Who is the favourite between E. Rybakina and L. Fernandez?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has E. Rybakina winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the E. Rybakina – L. Fernandez match?
On Friday, 30 October 2026 at 06:30, at the Tokyo tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Rybakina and L. Fernandez?
Since 2020, E. Rybakina leads 4 to 2 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Rybakina – L. Fernandez?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 October 2026

All matches on 30 October 2026