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F. Arnaboldi vs A. de Marchi prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. ArnaboldiA. de Marchi
61.7 %38.3 %
Model favourite
F. Arnaboldi
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · F. Arnaboldi

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPalermo (Italy) - QualificationQualifying12:20
F. Arnaboldi
F. Arnaboldi
vs
A. de Marchi
A. de Marchi
1744
Elo
1744
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.54
Odds
2.32

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Arnaboldi
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
A. de Marchi
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
1 – 2
10 – 14
Sets won – lost
3 – 5
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
16-21 (43%)
2026 record
0-1 (0%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Arnaboldi and A. de Marchi, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1744 against 1744): nothing separates them in the model's rating. F. Arnaboldi won 4 of the last ten matches, A. de Marchi won 6. F. Arnaboldi has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. de Marchi has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Arnaboldi the favourite.

The model gave F. Arnaboldi the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Arnaboldi won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Arnaboldi's last five matches

A. de Marchi's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is F. Arnaboldi's first match of the tournament. This is A. de Marchi's first match of the tournament.

Frequently asked questions about F. Arnaboldi – A. de Marchi

Who is the favourite between F. Arnaboldi and A. de Marchi?
The match is over: F. Arnaboldi won 2-1. Bookmakers make F. Arnaboldi the favourite, priced at 1.54 against 2.32 for A. de Marchi. Pronocast's model had F. Arnaboldi winning at 62 %.
When is the F. Arnaboldi – A. de Marchi match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 12:20, at the Palermo (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Qualifying, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between F. Arnaboldi and A. de Marchi?
No meeting between F. Arnaboldi and A. de Marchi appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Arnaboldi – A. de Marchi?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Palermo (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026