F. Arnaboldi vs K. Ivanovski prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction

F. ArnaboldiK. Ivanovski

56.9 %43.1 %

Model favourite: F. Arnaboldi
Probability: 57 %
Predicted score: 2-0
Actual score: 0-2 · K. Ivanovski

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPalermo (Italy) - QualificationQualifying11:05

F. Arnaboldi

K. Ivanovski

1759
Elo: 1840; 5 / 10
Form (last 10): 8 / 10; 5
Recent matches: 2; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 1.68
Odds: 1.99

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Arnaboldi

K. Ivanovski

5 – 5
Wins – losses: 6 – 4; 11 – 13
Sets won – lost: 14 – 10; 1 win
Current streak: 1 win; 17-21 (45%)
2026 record: 1-0 (100%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Arnaboldi and K. Ivanovski, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Ivanovski comes in with an Elo of 1840, against 1759 for F. Arnaboldi: a 80-point edge. F. Arnaboldi won 5 of the last ten matches, K. Ivanovski won 8. F. Arnaboldi has 3 wins in the last five matches. K. Ivanovski has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Arnaboldi the favourite.

The model gave F. Arnaboldi the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Ivanovski won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Arnaboldi's last five matches

VA. de MarchiPalermo (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 4 October 20264-6 6-1 6-3
DM. GiuntaBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 29 September 20263-6 1-6
VF. IannacconeBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 27 September 20262-6 6-3 6-3
DM. MoellerGenova 2 (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 16 · 23 September 20264-6 4-6
VF. BroskaGenova 2 (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 September 20266-1 7-6

K. Ivanovski's last five matches

VG. La VelaPalermo (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 4 October 20266-4 5-7 6-4
DM. GiganteSan Marino 2025 · Round of 32 · 15 July 20257-6 3-6 3-6
VF. FortiSan Marino 2025 · Qualifying · 14 July 20256-7 6-4 6-4
VJ. KovalikSan Marino 2025 · Qualifying · 13 July 20257-6 7-6
DM. TopoIasi 2025 · Qualifying · 6 July 20253-6 4-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Arnaboldi beat A. de Marchi (4-6 6-1 6-3). To reach this round, K. Ivanovski beat G. La Vela (6-4 5-7 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Arnaboldi wins 58 % (21 of 36), K. Ivanovski 47 % (14 of 30). In deciding sets, F. Arnaboldi wins 55 % of the time (51 matches), K. Ivanovski 48 % (23 matches). After losing the first set, F. Arnaboldi turned 14 % of matches around (87 occasions), K. Ivanovski 19 % (31 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Arnaboldi went on to win 84 % of matches, K. Ivanovski 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Arnaboldi – K. Ivanovski

Who is the favourite between F. Arnaboldi and K. Ivanovski?: The match is over: K. Ivanovski won 2-0. Bookmakers make F. Arnaboldi the favourite, priced at 1.68 against 1.99 for K. Ivanovski. Pronocast's model had F. Arnaboldi winning at 57 %.
When is the F. Arnaboldi – K. Ivanovski match?: On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 11:05, at the Palermo (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Qualifying, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between F. Arnaboldi and K. Ivanovski?: No meeting between F. Arnaboldi and K. Ivanovski appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Arnaboldi – K. Ivanovski?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions