F. Auger-Aliassime vs A. Rinderknech prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

F. Auger-AliassimeA. Rinderknech

69.9 %30.1 %

Model favourite: F. Auger-Aliassime
Probability: 70 %
Predicted score: 2-0
Actual score: 2-1 · F. Auger-Aliassime

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPATP Davis Cup - World Group22:30Time to be confirmed

F. Auger-Aliassime

A. Rinderknech

2341
Elo: 2132; 7 / 10
Form (last 10): 4 / 10; 0
Recent matches: 1; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 1.33
Odds: 3.25

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Auger-Aliassime

A. Rinderknech

7 – 3
Wins – losses: 4 – 6; 21 – 12
Sets won – lost: 14 – 16; 1 win
Current streak: 2 losses; 33-15 (69%)
2026 record: 17-21 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Auger-Aliassime and A. Rinderknech, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Auger-Aliassime comes in with an Elo of 2341, against 2132 for A. Rinderknech: a 209-point edge. F. Auger-Aliassime won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Rinderknech won 4. F. Auger-Aliassime has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Rinderknech has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make F. Auger-Aliassime the favourite.

The model gave F. Auger-Aliassime the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Auger-Aliassime won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Auger-Aliassime's last five matches

VQ. HalysATP Davis Cup - World Group 2026 · 19 September 20267-6 4-6 6-3
DK. KhachanovUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 September 20267-6 3-6 2-6 2-6
VR. HijikataUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 1 September 20267-5 4-6 6-3 7-5
DF. TiafoeCincinnati 2026 · Round of 16 · 20 August 20263-6 4-6
VJ. M. CerundoloCincinnati 2026 · Round of 32 · 19 August 20267-5 6-1

A. Rinderknech's last five matches

DL. DraxlATP Davis Cup - World Group 2026 · 18 September 20262-6 5-7
DD. MedvedevUS Open 2026 · Round of 32 · 4 September 20264-6 4-6 4-6
VJ. MunarUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 2 September 20267-6 6-2 7-5
VS. ShimabukuroUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 30 August 20266-7 6-2 7-6 6-2
DJ. M. CerundoloCincinnati 2026 · Round of 64 · 16 August 20266-4 6-7 6-7

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

DA. RinderknechShanghai 2025 · Quarter-final · 10 October 20253-6 4-6
VA. RinderknechMallorca 2025 · Round of 16 · 24 June 20257-5 6-3

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Auger-Aliassime beat Q. Halys (7-6 4-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Auger-Aliassime wins 60 % (125 of 207), A. Rinderknech 47 % (93 of 196). In deciding sets, F. Auger-Aliassime wins 62 % of the time (107 matches), A. Rinderknech 57 % (133 matches). After losing the first set, F. Auger-Aliassime turned 32 % of matches around (145 occasions), A. Rinderknech 26 % (174 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Auger-Aliassime went on to win 87 % of matches, A. Rinderknech 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Auger-Aliassime – A. Rinderknech

Who is the favourite between F. Auger-Aliassime and A. Rinderknech?: The match is over: F. Auger-Aliassime won 2-1. Bookmakers make F. Auger-Aliassime the favourite, priced at 1.33 against 3.25 for A. Rinderknech. Pronocast's model had F. Auger-Aliassime winning at 70 %.
When is the F. Auger-Aliassime – A. Rinderknech match?: On Saturday, 19 September 2026, at the ATP Davis Cup - World Group tournament (Unknown). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between F. Auger-Aliassime and A. Rinderknech?: Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Auger-Aliassime – A. Rinderknech?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions