F. Cerundolo vs M. Alkaya prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

F. CerundoloM. Alkaya

91.0 %9.0 %

Model favourite: F. Cerundolo
Probability: 91 %
Predicted score: 2-0; Exact score
Actual score: 2-0 · F. Cerundolo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPATP Davis Cup - World Group I18:10Time to be confirmed

F. Cerundolo

M. Alkaya

2263
Elo: 1804; 5 / 10
Form (last 10): 5 / 10; 1
Recent matches: 2; Even
Head-to-head: Even; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Cerundolo

M. Alkaya

5 – 5
Wins – losses: 4 – 6; 15 – 17
Sets won – lost: 9 – 13; 1 win
Current streak: 2 losses; 31-16 (66%)
2026 record: 14-17 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Cerundolo and M. Alkaya, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Cerundolo comes in with an Elo of 2263, against 1804 for M. Alkaya: a 459-point edge. F. Cerundolo won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Alkaya won 5. F. Cerundolo has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Alkaya has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave F. Cerundolo the win at 91 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Cerundolo won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Cerundolo's last five matches

VY. ErelATP Davis Cup - World Group I 2026 · 19 September 20266-0 6-4
DA. BlockxUS Open 2026 · Round of 16 · 7 September 20263-6 6-4 5-7 5-7
VT. FritzUS Open 2026 · Round of 32 · 5 September 20263-6 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4
VJ-L. StruffUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 September 20265-7 7-5 4-6 6-2 6-3
VF. MisolicUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 1 September 20266-4 6-3 7-5

M. Alkaya's last five matches

DT. A. TiranteATP Davis Cup - World Group I 2026 · 19 September 20262-6 4-6
DM. BasingIstanbul 2026 · Round of 16 · 10 September 20264-6 5-7
VT. TorresIstanbul 2026 · Round of 32 · 8 September 20266-3 4-6 6-2
DK. SultanovAstana 2026 · Quarter-final · 14 August 20266-7 3-6
VB. ZhukayevAstana 2026 · Round of 16 · 12 August 20266-3 6-4

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Cerundolo beat Y. Erel (6-0 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Cerundolo wins 53 % (70 of 132), M. Alkaya 29 % (4 of 14). In deciding sets, F. Cerundolo wins 56 % of the time (117 matches), M. Alkaya 56 % (16 matches). After losing the first set, F. Cerundolo turned 28 % of matches around (149 occasions), M. Alkaya 24 % (21 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Cerundolo went on to win 85 % of matches, M. Alkaya 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Cerundolo – M. Alkaya

Who is the favourite between F. Cerundolo and M. Alkaya?: The match is over: F. Cerundolo won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had F. Cerundolo winning at 91 %.
When is the F. Cerundolo – M. Alkaya match?: On Sunday, 20 September 2026, at the ATP Davis Cup - World Group I tournament (Unknown). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between F. Cerundolo and M. Alkaya?: No meeting between F. Cerundolo and M. Alkaya appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Cerundolo – M. Alkaya?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions