F. Moroni vs I. Parisca prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction

F. MoroniI. Parisca

47.3 %52.7 %

Model favourite: I. Parisca
Probability: 53 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 2-1 · F. Moroni

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPalermo (Italy) - QualificationQualifying14:35

F. Moroni

I. Parisca

1710
Elo: 1728; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 6 / 10; 3
Recent matches: 5; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 1.86
Odds: 1.82

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Moroni

I. Parisca

4 – 6
Wins – losses: 6 – 4; 11 – 15
Sets won – lost: 13 – 9; 1 win
Current streak: 1 win; 2-2 (50%)
2026 record: 7-4 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Moroni and I. Parisca, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

I. Parisca comes in with an Elo of 1728, against 1710 for F. Moroni: a 17-point edge. F. Moroni won 6 of the last ten matches, I. Parisca won 6. F. Moroni has 2 wins in the last five matches. I. Parisca has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make I. Parisca the favourite.

The model gave I. Parisca the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Moroni won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Moroni's last five matches

VA. Marti PujolrasPalermo (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 4 October 20267-6 6-7 6-1
DF. AndaloroBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20266-7 6-1 3-6
VG. FerrariBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 27 September 20264-6 6-3 6-1
DM. DhamneBarletta 2026 · Qualifying · 29 March 20261-6 3-6
DL. GiustinoMontemar 2025 · Round of 32 · 18 November 20254-6 1-6

I. Parisca's last five matches

VG. GhetuPalermo (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 4 October 20266-0 6-0
DF. AgamenoneBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 27 September 20266-2 3-6 2-6
DY. MilevPlovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 16 · 3 September 20265-7 0-6
VF. J. PlaninsekPlovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 1 September 20266-2 6-4
VA. ValesPlovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 31 August 20266-7 6-4 6-2

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Moroni beat A. Marti Pujolras (7-6 6-7 6-1). To reach this round, I. Parisca beat G. Ghetu (6-0 6-0).

Frequently asked questions about F. Moroni – I. Parisca

Who is the favourite between F. Moroni and I. Parisca?: The match is over: F. Moroni won 2-1. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: F. Moroni is priced at 1.86, I. Parisca at 1.82. Pronocast's model had I. Parisca winning at 53 %.
When is the F. Moroni – I. Parisca match?: On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 14:35, at the Palermo (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Qualifying, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between F. Moroni and I. Parisca?: No meeting between F. Moroni and I. Parisca appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Moroni – I. Parisca?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions