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F. Ribero vs L. J. Rodriguez prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. RiberoL. J. Rodriguez
19.0 %81.0 %
Model favourite
L. J. Rodriguez
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · L. J. Rodriguez

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerAntofagastaQualifyingclay15:10
F. Ribero
F. Ribero
vs
L. J. Rodriguez
L. J. Rodriguez
1585
Elo
1731
1576
Elo on clay
1726
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
0
Recent matches
5
–
Head-to-head
Edge
4.44
Odds
1.17

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Ribero
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
L. J. Rodriguez
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
10 – 13
Sets won – lost
8 – 13
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
17-16 (52%)
2026 record
9-12 (43%)
26-33 (44%)
Record on clay
30-37 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Ribero and L. J. Rodriguez, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. J. Rodriguez comes in with an Elo of 1731, against 1585 for F. Ribero: a 146-point edge. On clay, the gap is 150 points in favour of L. J. Rodriguez. F. Ribero won 4 of the last ten matches, L. J. Rodriguez won 5. F. Ribero has one win in the last five matches. L. J. Rodriguez has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to L. J. Rodriguez. Bookmakers make L. J. Rodriguez the favourite.

The model gave L. J. Rodriguez the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. J. Rodriguez won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Ribero's last five matches

L. J. Rodriguez's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is F. Ribero's first match of the tournament. This is L. J. Rodriguez's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Garin, who beat F. Diaz Acosta in the final (2-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Ribero wins 55 % (11 of 20), L. J. Rodriguez 33 % (8 of 24). In deciding sets, F. Ribero wins 38 % of the time (21 matches), L. J. Rodriguez 28 % (18 matches). After losing the first set, F. Ribero turned 16 % of matches around (37 occasions), L. J. Rodriguez 3 % (36 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Ribero went on to win 83 % of matches, L. J. Rodriguez 91 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Ribero – L. J. Rodriguez

Who is the favourite between F. Ribero and L. J. Rodriguez?
The match is over: L. J. Rodriguez won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. J. Rodriguez the favourite, priced at 1.17 against 4.44 for F. Ribero. Pronocast's model had L. J. Rodriguez winning at 81 %.
When is the F. Ribero – L. J. Rodriguez match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 15:10, at the Antofagasta tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Ribero and L. J. Rodriguez?
No meeting between F. Ribero and L. J. Rodriguez appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Ribero – L. J. Rodriguez?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Antofagasta

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026