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H. Casanova vs B. Munk Mesa prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
H. CasanovaB. Munk Mesa
73.4 %26.6 %
Model favourite
H. Casanova
Probability
73 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · B. Munk Mesa

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerAntofagastaQualifyingclay15:10
H. Casanova
H. Casanova
vs
BM
B. Munk Mesa
1825
Elo
1513
1828
Elo on clay
1486
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.28
Odds
2.96

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Casanova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
B. Munk Mesa
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
2 – 3
11 – 11
Sets won – lost
6 – 7
1 win
Current streak
1 win
17-11 (61%)
2026 record
2-2 (50%)
94-86 (52%)
Record on clay
1-0 (100%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Casanova and B. Munk Mesa, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Casanova comes in with an Elo of 1825, against 1513 for B. Munk Mesa: a 312-point edge. On clay, the gap is 342 points in favour of H. Casanova. H. Casanova won 5 of the last ten matches, B. Munk Mesa won 4. H. Casanova has one win in the last five matches. B. Munk Mesa has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make H. Casanova the favourite.

The model gave H. Casanova the win at 73 %, with a likely score of 2-0. B. Munk Mesa won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Casanova's last five matches

B. Munk Mesa's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Casanova beat W. Leite (6-3 3-6 6-4). To reach this round, B. Munk Mesa beat B. Fernandez (6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Garin, who beat F. Diaz Acosta in the final (2-6 6-3 6-3).

Frequently asked questions about H. Casanova – B. Munk Mesa

Who is the favourite between H. Casanova and B. Munk Mesa?
The match is over: B. Munk Mesa won 2-1. Bookmakers make H. Casanova the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 2.96 for B. Munk Mesa. Pronocast's model had H. Casanova winning at 73 %.
When is the H. Casanova – B. Munk Mesa match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 15:10, at the Antofagasta tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between H. Casanova and B. Munk Mesa?
No meeting between H. Casanova and B. Munk Mesa appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Casanova – B. Munk Mesa?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Antofagasta

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026