Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

H. Casanova vs W. Leite prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
H. CasanovaW. Leite
81.0 %19.0 %
Model favourite
H. Casanova
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · H. Casanova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerAntofagastaQualifyingclay18:15
H. Casanova
H. Casanova
vs
W. Leite
W. Leite
1820
Elo
1565
1823
Elo on clay
1536
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
7
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Casanova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
W. Leite
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
4 – 6
11 – 10
Sets won – lost
10 – 13
4 losses
Current streak
2 losses
16-11 (59%)
2026 record
11-12 (48%)
93-86 (52%)
Record on clay
59-82 (42%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Casanova and W. Leite, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Casanova comes in with an Elo of 1820, against 1565 for W. Leite: a 255-point edge. On clay, the gap is 287 points in favour of H. Casanova. H. Casanova won 5 of the last ten matches, W. Leite won 4. H. Casanova has one win in the last five matches. W. Leite has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, H. Casanova leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave H. Casanova the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Casanova won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

H. Casanova's last five matches

W. Leite's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

H. Casanova leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is H. Casanova's first match of the tournament. This is W. Leite's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Garin, who beat F. Diaz Acosta in the final (2-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Casanova wins 50 % (27 of 54), W. Leite 40 % (14 of 35). In deciding sets, H. Casanova wins 54 % of the time (52 matches), W. Leite 45 % (38 matches). After losing the first set, H. Casanova turned 18 % of matches around (93 occasions), W. Leite 7 % (91 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Casanova went on to win 88 % of matches, W. Leite 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Casanova – W. Leite

Who is the favourite between H. Casanova and W. Leite?
The match is over: H. Casanova won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had H. Casanova winning at 81 %.
When is the H. Casanova – W. Leite match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 18:15, at the Antofagasta tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between H. Casanova and W. Leite?
Since 2020, H. Casanova leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Casanova – W. Leite?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Antofagasta

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026