J. Mensik vs B. Shelton prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction

J. MensikB. Shelton

37.7 %62.3 %

Model favourite: B. Shelton
Probability: 62 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 2-1 · J. Mensik

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPATP Davis Cup - World Group17:30Time to be confirmed

J. Mensik

B. Shelton

2266
Elo: 2400; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 7 / 10; 2
Recent matches: 6; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 2.37
Odds: 1.53

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Mensik

B. Shelton

6 – 4
Wins – losses: 7 – 3; 17 – 11
Sets won – lost: 21 – 13; 2 losses
Current streak: 2 losses; 32-17 (65%)
2026 record: 39-15 (72%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Mensik and B. Shelton, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

B. Shelton comes in with an Elo of 2400, against 2266 for J. Mensik: a 135-point edge. J. Mensik won 6 of the last ten matches, B. Shelton won 7. J. Mensik has 2 wins in the last five matches. B. Shelton has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each. Bookmakers make B. Shelton the favourite.

The model gave B. Shelton the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Mensik won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. Mensik's last five matches

DL. TienATP Davis Cup - World Group 2026 · 18 September 20262-6 4-6
DL. TienUS Open 2026 · Round of 32 · 6 September 20263-6 6-1 7-6 3-6 4-6
VJ. RodionovUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 September 20266-3 3-6 6-2 6-3
VS. MochizukiUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 1 September 20266-1 6-4 7-5
DT. A. TiranteCincinnati 2026 · Round of 16 · 19 August 20267-5 4-6 4-6

B. Shelton's last five matches

DJ. LeheckaATP Davis Cup - World Group 2026 · 18 September 20264-6 4-6
DA. ZverevUS Open 2026 · Final · 13 September 20263-6 6-7 7-5 2-6
VF. TiafoeUS Open 2026 · Semi-final · 12 September 20264-6 6-3 6-3 7-5
VC. AlcarazUS Open 2026 · Quarter-final · 9 September 20266-7 6-1 6-3 1-6 7-6
VS. TsitsipasUS Open 2026 · Round of 16 · 7 September 20266-2 6-3 6-4

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 2 win(s) each

DB. SheltonMontreal 2026 · Quarter-final · 12 August 20263-6 1-6
VB. SheltonMadrid 2025 · Round of 32 · 27 April 20256-1 6-4
VB. SheltonAuckland 2025 · Round of 16 · 8 January 20257-6 4-6 7-5
DB. SheltonATP Indian Wells 2024 · Round of 64 · 9 March 20246-4 3-6 4-6

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Mensik wins 59 % (66 of 111), B. Shelton 55 % (106 of 194). In deciding sets, J. Mensik wins 52 % of the time (87 matches), B. Shelton 59 % (107 matches). After losing the first set, J. Mensik turned 20 % of matches around (74 occasions), B. Shelton 38 % (128 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Mensik went on to win 83 % of matches, B. Shelton 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Mensik – B. Shelton

Who is the favourite between J. Mensik and B. Shelton?: The match is over: J. Mensik won 2-1. Bookmakers make B. Shelton the favourite, priced at 1.53 against 2.37 for J. Mensik. Pronocast's model had B. Shelton winning at 62 %.
When is the J. Mensik – B. Shelton match?: On Saturday, 19 September 2026, at the ATP Davis Cup - World Group tournament (Unknown). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between J. Mensik and B. Shelton?: Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Mensik – B. Shelton?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions