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J. Riera vs M. Stoiana prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. RieraM. Stoiana
31.4 %68.6 %
Model favourite
M. Stoiana
Probability
69 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · J. Riera

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

Women's ChallengerBarranquillaRound of 16hard court02:30
J. Riera
J. Riera
vs
M. Stoiana
M. Stoiana
2002
Elo
2094
1761
Elo on hard court
1982
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
0
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.63
Odds
1.35

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Riera
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
M. Stoiana
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 13
Sets won – lost
14 – 11
1 win
Current streak
1 win
14-9 (61%)
2026 record
22-17 (56%)
14-17 (45%)
Record on hard court
13-14 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Riera and M. Stoiana, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Stoiana comes in with an Elo of 2094, against 2002 for J. Riera: a 92-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 220 points in favour of M. Stoiana. J. Riera won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Stoiana won 5. J. Riera has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Stoiana has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Stoiana the favourite.

The model gave M. Stoiana the win at 69 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Riera won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. Riera's last five matches

M. Stoiana's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Riera beat D. Salkova (6-1 6-3). To reach this round, M. Stoiana beat J. Ortenzi (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Riera wins 34 % (10 of 29), M. Stoiana 73 % (11 of 15). In deciding sets, J. Riera wins 42 % of the time (52 matches), M. Stoiana 48 % (23 matches). After losing the first set, J. Riera turned 22 % of matches around (63 occasions), M. Stoiana 32 % (19 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Riera went on to win 82 % of matches, M. Stoiana 69 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Riera – M. Stoiana

Who is the favourite between J. Riera and M. Stoiana?
The match is over: J. Riera won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Stoiana the favourite, priced at 1.35 against 2.63 for J. Riera. Pronocast's model had M. Stoiana winning at 69 %.
When is the J. Riera – M. Stoiana match?
On Thursday, 10 September 2026 at 02:30, at the Barranquilla tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Riera and M. Stoiana?
No meeting between J. Riera and M. Stoiana appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Riera – M. Stoiana?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Barranquilla

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 September 2026

All matches on 10 September 2026