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J. Sheehy vs I. Marrero Curbelo prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. SheehyI. Marrero Curbelo
34.0 %66.0 %
Model favourite
I. Marrero Curbelo
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · I. Marrero Curbelo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaQualifyingclay17:30
J. Sheehy
J. Sheehy
vs
I. Marrero Curbelo
I. Marrero Curbelo
1581
Elo
1772
1474
Elo on clay
1620
2 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.53
Odds
1.38

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Sheehy
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
I. Marrero Curbelo
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
4 – 6
9 – 16
Sets won – lost
10 – 16
6 losses
Current streak
2 losses
9-15 (38%)
2026 record
16-15 (52%)
8-12 (40%)
Record on clay
10-12 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Sheehy and I. Marrero Curbelo, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

I. Marrero Curbelo comes in with an Elo of 1772, against 1581 for J. Sheehy: a 191-point edge. On clay, the gap is 146 points in favour of I. Marrero Curbelo. J. Sheehy won 2 of the last ten matches, I. Marrero Curbelo won 4. J. Sheehy has no win in the last five matches. I. Marrero Curbelo has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make I. Marrero Curbelo the favourite.

The model gave I. Marrero Curbelo the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Marrero Curbelo won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Sheehy's last five matches

I. Marrero Curbelo's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is J. Sheehy's first match of the tournament. This is I. Marrero Curbelo's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Sheehy wins 52 % (16 of 31), I. Marrero Curbelo 36 % (5 of 14). In deciding sets, J. Sheehy wins 30 % of the time (30 matches), I. Marrero Curbelo 41 % (22 matches). After losing the first set, J. Sheehy turned 7 % of matches around (42 occasions), I. Marrero Curbelo 19 % (27 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Sheehy went on to win 75 % of matches, I. Marrero Curbelo 71 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Sheehy – I. Marrero Curbelo

Who is the favourite between J. Sheehy and I. Marrero Curbelo?
The match is over: I. Marrero Curbelo won 2-1. Bookmakers make I. Marrero Curbelo the favourite, priced at 1.38 against 2.53 for J. Sheehy. Pronocast's model had I. Marrero Curbelo winning at 66 %.
When is the J. Sheehy – I. Marrero Curbelo match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 17:30, at the Villena tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between J. Sheehy and I. Marrero Curbelo?
No meeting between J. Sheehy and I. Marrero Curbelo appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Sheehy – I. Marrero Curbelo?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026