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K. Khachanov vs C. Alcaraz prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has C. Alcaraz winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
C. Alcaraz
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPViennaRound of 32hard court
K. Khachanov
K. Khachanov
vs
C. Alcaraz
C. Alcaraz
5.10
Odds
1.16

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Khachanov
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
C. Alcaraz
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
8 – 2
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
20 – 8
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
26-22 (54%)
2026 record
32-5 (86%)
118-83 (59%)
Record on hard court
159-39 (80%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Khachanov and C. Alcaraz, before this match.

Recent matches

K. Khachanov's last five matches

C. Alcaraz's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

C. Alcaraz leads 6 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is K. Khachanov's first match of the tournament. This is C. Alcaraz's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat A. Zverev in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, K. Khachanov wins 51 % (78 of 154), C. Alcaraz 61 % (95 of 157). In deciding sets, K. Khachanov wins 52 % of the time (113 matches), C. Alcaraz 74 % (93 matches). After losing the first set, K. Khachanov turned 30 % of matches around (126 occasions), C. Alcaraz 48 % (85 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Khachanov went on to win 81 % of matches, C. Alcaraz 95 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about K. Khachanov – C. Alcaraz

Who is the favourite between K. Khachanov and C. Alcaraz?
Bookmakers make C. Alcaraz the favourite, priced at 1.16 against 5.10 for K. Khachanov. Pronocast's model has C. Alcaraz winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the K. Khachanov – C. Alcaraz match?
On Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 10:00, at the Vienna tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between K. Khachanov and C. Alcaraz?
Since 2020, C. Alcaraz leads 6 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Khachanov – C. Alcaraz?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Vienna

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 October 2026

All matches on 27 October 2026