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T. Paul vs A. Rublev prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has T. Paul winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
T. Paul
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPViennaRound of 32hard court
T. Paul
T. Paul
vs
A. Rublev
A. Rublev
1.63
Odds
2.25

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Paul
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
A. Rublev
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 13
Sets won – lost
13 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
3 losses
43-20 (68%)
2026 record
33-21 (61%)
138-75 (65%)
Record on hard court
153-89 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Paul and A. Rublev, before this match.

Recent matches

T. Paul's last five matches

A. Rublev's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Rublev leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is T. Paul's first match of the tournament. This is A. Rublev's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat A. Zverev in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Paul wins 50 % (79 of 157), A. Rublev 53 % (91 of 173). In deciding sets, T. Paul wins 61 % of the time (119 matches), A. Rublev 59 % (116 matches). After losing the first set, T. Paul turned 31 % of matches around (133 occasions), A. Rublev 31 % (144 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Paul went on to win 86 % of matches, A. Rublev 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Paul – A. Rublev

Who is the favourite between T. Paul and A. Rublev?
Bookmakers make T. Paul the favourite, priced at 1.63 against 2.25 for A. Rublev. Pronocast's model has T. Paul winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the T. Paul – A. Rublev match?
On Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 10:00, at the Vienna tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Paul and A. Rublev?
Since 2020, A. Rublev leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Paul – A. Rublev?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Vienna

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 October 2026

All matches on 27 October 2026