L. Fernandez vs E. Alexandrova prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has L. Fernandez winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
L. Fernandez
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTANingboQuarter-finalhard court

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Fernandez
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
E. Alexandrova
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 9
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
24-25 (49%)
2026 record
20-23 (47%)
114-78 (59%)
Record on hard court
107-81 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Fernandez and E. Alexandrova, before this match.

Recent matches

L. Fernandez's last five matches

E. Alexandrova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Alexandrova leads 3 to 2

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Fernandez beat E. Mertens (2-6 6-3 7-5). To reach this round, E. Alexandrova beat H. Guo (6-2 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Rybakina, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (3-6 6-0 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Fernandez wins 50 % (39 of 78), E. Alexandrova 45 % (43 of 95). In deciding sets, L. Fernandez wins 52 % of the time (92 matches), E. Alexandrova 50 % (98 matches). After losing the first set, L. Fernandez turned 18 % of matches around (128 occasions), E. Alexandrova 21 % (121 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Fernandez went on to win 88 % of matches, E. Alexandrova 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Fernandez – E. Alexandrova

Who is the favourite between L. Fernandez and E. Alexandrova?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has L. Fernandez winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the L. Fernandez – E. Alexandrova match?
On Friday, 23 October 2026 at 04:00, at the Ningbo tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Fernandez and E. Alexandrova?
Since 2020, E. Alexandrova leads 3 to 2 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Fernandez – E. Alexandrova?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Ningbo

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 October 2026

All matches on 23 October 2026