L. Fernandez vs E. Alexandrova prediction
AI prediction
Probability for membersThe model has L. Fernandez winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.
- Predicted winner
- L. Fernandez
- Probability
- Members only
- Likely score
- Members only
Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.
Community · Who wins?
No votes yetVote for the player you think will win. One vote per person, no account needed.
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- L
- L
- W
- 7 – 3
- Wins – losses
- 6 – 4
- 17 – 9
- Sets won – lost
- 14 – 10
- 1 win
- Current streak
- 1 win
- 24-25 (49%)
- 2026 record
- 20-23 (47%)
- 114-78 (59%)
- Record on hard court
- 107-81 (57%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Fernandez and E. Alexandrova, before this match.
Recent matches
L. Fernandez's last five matches
- VE. MertensNingbo 2026 · Round of 32 · 19 October 20262-6 6-3 7-5
- DJ. OstapenkoWuhan 2026 · Round of 16 · 15 October 20261-6 6-1 4-6
- VE. AlexandrovaWuhan 2026 · Round of 64 · 12 October 20266-4 3-6 6-3
- DK. RakhimovaBeijing 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 October 20262-6 6-4 3-6
- VT. GibsonSingapore 2026 · Final · 27 September 20267-5 6-0
E. Alexandrova's last five matches
- VH. GuoNingbo 2026 · Round of 32 · 20 October 20266-2 6-3
- DL. FernandezWuhan 2026 · Round of 64 · 12 October 20264-6 6-3 3-6
- DM. AndreevaBeijing 2026 · Quarter-final · 8 October 20266-7 6-7
- VL. NoskovaBeijing 2026 · Round of 16 · 6 October 20266-2 6-2
- VD. ShnaiderBeijing 2026 · Round of 32 · 4 October 20263-6 6-4 6-3
Head-to-head since 2020
E. Alexandrova leads 3 to 2- VE. AlexandrovaWuhan 2026 · Round of 64 · 12 October 20266-4 3-6 6-3
- DE. AlexandrovaAdelaide 2025 · Round of 32 · 6 January 20254-6 6-3 2-6
- DE. AlexandrovaWTA US Open 2023 · Round of 128 · 29 August 20236-7 7-5 4-6
- DE. AlexandrovaCincinnati 2022 · Round of 64 · 15 August 20224-6 5-7
- VE. AlexandrovaAdelaide 2022 · Round of 32 · 3 January 20226-3 6-4
Road through the tournament
To reach this round, L. Fernandez beat E. Mertens (2-6 6-3 7-5). To reach this round, E. Alexandrova beat H. Guo (6-2 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Rybakina, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (3-6 6-0 6-2).
Key numbers
In tie-breaks, L. Fernandez wins 50 % (39 of 78), E. Alexandrova 45 % (43 of 95). In deciding sets, L. Fernandez wins 52 % of the time (92 matches), E. Alexandrova 50 % (98 matches). After losing the first set, L. Fernandez turned 18 % of matches around (128 occasions), E. Alexandrova 21 % (121 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Fernandez went on to win 88 % of matches, E. Alexandrova 86 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about L. Fernandez – E. Alexandrova
- Who is the favourite between L. Fernandez and E. Alexandrova?
- No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has L. Fernandez winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
- When is the L. Fernandez – E. Alexandrova match?
- On Friday, 23 October 2026 at 04:00, at the Ningbo tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
- What is the head-to-head between L. Fernandez and E. Alexandrova?
- Since 2020, E. Alexandrova leads 3 to 2 in their direct meetings.
- Where can I see the prediction for L. Fernandez – E. Alexandrova?
- In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Ningbo
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