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L. Fernandez vs J. Ostapenko prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has L. Fernandez winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
L. Fernandez
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTAWuhanRound of 16hard court09:00
L. Fernandez
L. Fernandez
vs
J. Ostapenko
J. Ostapenko

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Fernandez
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
J. Ostapenko
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
5 – 5
18 – 6
Sets won – lost
12 – 11
1 win
Current streak
1 win
23-24 (49%)
2026 record
24-17 (59%)
113-77 (59%)
Record on hard court
90-69 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Fernandez and J. Ostapenko, before this match.

Recent matches

L. Fernandez's last five matches

J. Ostapenko's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Ostapenko leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Fernandez beat E. Alexandrova (6-4 3-6 6-3). To reach this round, J. Ostapenko beat D. Kasatkina (6-1 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Gauff, who beat J. Pegula in the final (6-4 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Fernandez wins 50 % (39 of 78), J. Ostapenko 52 % (26 of 50). In deciding sets, L. Fernandez wins 52 % of the time (90 matches), J. Ostapenko 60 % (98 matches). After losing the first set, L. Fernandez turned 17 % of matches around (126 occasions), J. Ostapenko 30 % (105 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Fernandez went on to win 88 % of matches, J. Ostapenko 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Fernandez – J. Ostapenko

Who is the favourite between L. Fernandez and J. Ostapenko?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has L. Fernandez winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the L. Fernandez – J. Ostapenko match?
On Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 09:00, at the Wuhan tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Fernandez and J. Ostapenko?
Since 2020, J. Ostapenko leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Fernandez – J. Ostapenko?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Wuhan

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 October 2026

All matches on 15 October 2026