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M. Alves vs B. De La Pena prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. AlvesB. De La Pena
95.5 %4.5 %
Model favourite
M. Alves
Probability
95 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Alves

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerAntofagastaQualifyingclay21:00
M. Alves
M. Alves
vs
B. De La Pena
B. De La Pena
1837
Elo
1149
1820
Elo on clay
1194
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
1 / 10
7
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Alves
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
B. De La Pena
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
3 – 7
Wins – losses
0 – 10
9 – 15
Sets won – lost
0 – 20
1 loss
Current streak
13 losses
5-10 (33%)
2026 record
0-5 (0%)
85-79 (52%)
Record on clay
0-10 (0%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Alves and B. De La Pena, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Alves comes in with an Elo of 1837, against 1149 for B. De La Pena: a 688-point edge. On clay, the gap is 626 points in favour of M. Alves. M. Alves won 9 of the last ten matches, B. De La Pena won 1. M. Alves has 2 wins in the last five matches. B. De La Pena has no win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Alves the win at 95 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Alves won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Alves's last five matches

B. De La Pena's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Alves's first match of the tournament. This is B. De La Pena's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Garin, who beat F. Diaz Acosta in the final (2-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, M. Alves turned 13 % of matches around (87 occasions), B. De La Pena 0 % (13 occasions).

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Alves – B. De La Pena

Who is the favourite between M. Alves and B. De La Pena?
The match is over: M. Alves won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Alves winning at 95 %.
When is the M. Alves – B. De La Pena match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 21:00, at the Antofagasta tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Alves and B. De La Pena?
No meeting between M. Alves and B. De La Pena appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Alves – B. De La Pena?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Antofagasta

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026