M. Berrettini vs C. Alcaraz prediction
AI prediction
Probability for membersThe model has C. Alcaraz winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.
- Win probability
- Members only
- Predicted set score
- Members only
Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.
Community · Who wins?
No votes yetVote for the player you think will win. One vote per person, no account needed.
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent: W = win, L = loss
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- 4 – 6
- Wins – losses (last 10 matches)
- 9 – 1
- 11 – 15
- Sets won – lost (last 10 matches)
- 18 – 3
- 1 loss
- Current streak
- 5 wins
- 21-19 (53%)
- Wins – losses in 2026
- 37-5 (88%)
- 65-48 (58%)
- Wins – losses on hard court
- 164-39 (81%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Berrettini and C. Alcaraz, before this match.
Recent matches
M. Berrettini's last five matches
- DA. De MinaurVienna 2026 · Quarter-final · 30 October 20266-7 2-6
- VT. M. EtcheverryVienna 2026 · Round of 32 · 26 October 20266-3 6-4
- DK. JacquetLyon (France) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 20 October 20266-7 5-7
- DB. NakashimaShanghai 2026 · Round of 64 · 9 October 20266-7 5-7
- VA. KovacevicShanghai 2026 · Round of 128 · 7 October 20266-7 6-1 6-4
C. Alcaraz's last five matches
- VA. De MinaurVienna 2026 · Final · 1 November 20266-1 6-4
- VD. MedvedevVienna 2026 · Semi-final · 31 October 20266-4 7-6
- VT. PaulVienna 2026 · Quarter-final · 30 October 20266-4 7-6
- VN. BasilashviliVienna 2026 · Round of 16 · 29 October 20266-1 7-6
- VK. KhachanovVienna 2026 · Round of 32 · 27 October 20266-4 7-6
Head-to-head since 2020
C. Alcaraz leads 3 to 1- DC. AlcarazATP Wimbledon 2023 · Round of 16 · 10 July 20236-3 3-6 3-6 3-6
- DC. AlcarazRio de Janeiro 2022 · Quarter-final · 19 February 20222-6 6-2 2-6
- VC. AlcarazAustralian Open 2022 · Round of 32 · 21 January 20226-2 7-6 4-6 2-6 7-6
- DC. AlcarazVienna 2021 · Quarter-final · 29 October 20211-6 7-6 6-7
Road through the tournament
This is M. Berrettini's first match of the tournament. This is C. Alcaraz's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat F. Auger-Aliassime in the final (6-4 7-6).
Key numbers
- 57 % (82 of 144)
- Tie-breaks won
- 61 % (99 of 161)
- 60 % (44 of 73)
- Matches won in a deciding set
- 74 % (69 of 93)
- 37 % (32 of 86)
- Matches won after losing the first set
- 48 % (41 of 85)
- 86 % (113 of 131)
- Matches won after winning the first set
- 95 % (263 of 278)
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about M. Berrettini – C. Alcaraz
- Who is the favourite between M. Berrettini and C. Alcaraz?
- No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has C. Alcaraz winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
- When is the M. Berrettini – C. Alcaraz match?
- On Thursday, 5 November 2026, at the Paris tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
- What is the head-to-head between M. Berrettini and C. Alcaraz?
- Since 2020, C. Alcaraz leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings.
- Where can I see the prediction for M. Berrettini – C. Alcaraz?
- In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.
How the model computes its predictions
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