M. Cerny vs D. Sakellaridis prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction

M. CernyD. Sakellaridis

62.6 %37.4 %

Model favourite: M. Cerny
Probability: 63 %
Predicted score: 2-0
Actual score: 1-2 · D. Sakellaridis

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPalermo (Italy) - QualificationQualifying13:35

M. Cerny

D. Sakellaridis

1718
Elo: 1663; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 6 / 10; 4
Recent matches: 4; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 1.45
Odds: 2.36

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Cerny

D. Sakellaridis

3 – 7
Wins – losses: 5 – 5; 9 – 15
Sets won – lost: 12 – 10; 1 win
Current streak: 1 win; 7-11 (39%)
2026 record: 8-7 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Cerny and D. Sakellaridis, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Cerny comes in with an Elo of 1718, against 1663 for D. Sakellaridis: a 55-point edge. M. Cerny won 6 of the last ten matches, D. Sakellaridis won 6. M. Cerny has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Sakellaridis has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Cerny the favourite.

The model gave M. Cerny the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Sakellaridis won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Cerny's last five matches

VF. AndaloroPalermo (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 4 October 20266-4 6-1
DJ. NiklesSzczecin 2026 · Qualifying · 14 September 20263-6 2-6
VF. MisolicSzczecin 2026 · Qualifying · 13 September 20264-6 7-5 6-4
DR. M. PapoePrague 2026 · Qualifying · 17 August 20262-6 3-6
VD. ObradovicPrague 2026 · Qualifying · 16 August 20266-2 6-2

D. Sakellaridis's last five matches

VR. GunaPalermo (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 4 October 20267-5 6-4
DM. DonaldBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20265-7 6-7
VF. F. GarberoBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 27 September 20267-5 6-1
DL. BertoGenova 2 (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 21 September 20266-1 5-7 4-6
VA. CeppelliniGenova 2 (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-3 6-2

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Cerny beat F. Andaloro (6-4 6-1). To reach this round, D. Sakellaridis beat R. Guna (7-5 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about M. Cerny – D. Sakellaridis

Who is the favourite between M. Cerny and D. Sakellaridis?: The match is over: D. Sakellaridis won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Cerny the favourite, priced at 1.45 against 2.36 for D. Sakellaridis. Pronocast's model had M. Cerny winning at 63 %.
When is the M. Cerny – D. Sakellaridis match?: On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 13:35, at the Palermo (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Qualifying, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between M. Cerny and D. Sakellaridis?: No meeting between M. Cerny and D. Sakellaridis appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Cerny – D. Sakellaridis?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions