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M. Chazal vs J. J. Schwaerzler prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. ChazalJ. J. Schwaerzler
26.8 %73.2 %
Model favourite
J. J. Schwaerzler
Probability
73 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · M. Chazal

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPlovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationRound of 3212:40
M. Chazal
M. Chazal
vs
J. J. Schwaerzler
J. J. Schwaerzler
1767
Elo
1917
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.26
Odds
1.30

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Chazal
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
J. J. Schwaerzler
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
6 – 4
8 – 17
Sets won – lost
14 – 12
5 losses
Current streak
1 loss
7-11 (39%)
2026 record
29-24 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Chazal and J. J. Schwaerzler, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. J. Schwaerzler comes in with an Elo of 1917, against 1767 for M. Chazal: a 150-point edge. M. Chazal won 7 of the last ten matches, J. J. Schwaerzler won 6. M. Chazal has no win in the last five matches. J. J. Schwaerzler has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make J. J. Schwaerzler the favourite.

The model gave J. J. Schwaerzler the win at 73 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Chazal won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Chazal's last five matches

J. J. Schwaerzler's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Chazal's first match of the tournament. This is J. J. Schwaerzler's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Chazal wins 50 % (9 of 18), J. J. Schwaerzler 61 % (31 of 51). In deciding sets, M. Chazal wins 44 % of the time (27 matches), J. J. Schwaerzler 60 % (45 matches). After losing the first set, M. Chazal turned 12 % of matches around (49 occasions), J. J. Schwaerzler 19 % (69 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Chazal went on to win 76 % of matches, J. J. Schwaerzler 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Chazal – J. J. Schwaerzler

Who is the favourite between M. Chazal and J. J. Schwaerzler?
The match is over: M. Chazal won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. J. Schwaerzler the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 3.26 for M. Chazal. Pronocast's model had J. J. Schwaerzler winning at 73 %.
When is the M. Chazal – J. J. Schwaerzler match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 12:40, at the Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between M. Chazal and J. J. Schwaerzler?
No meeting between M. Chazal and J. J. Schwaerzler appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Chazal – J. J. Schwaerzler?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026