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M. Echargui vs R. Brancaccio prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. EcharguiR. Brancaccio
67.4 %32.6 %
Model favourite
M. Echargui
Probability
67 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Echargui

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaRound of 32clay17:10
M. Echargui
M. Echargui
vs
R. Brancaccio
R. Brancaccio
1869
Elo
1843
1717
Elo on clay
1809
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
4
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.40
Odds
2.67

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Echargui
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
R. Brancaccio
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
4 – 6
15 – 10
Sets won – lost
11 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
17-32 (35%)
2026 record
23-27 (46%)
52-59 (47%)
Record on clay
92-95 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Echargui and R. Brancaccio, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Echargui comes in with an Elo of 1869, against 1843 for R. Brancaccio: a 26-point edge. On clay, the gap is 92 points in favour of R. Brancaccio. M. Echargui won 6 of the last ten matches, R. Brancaccio won 4. M. Echargui has 3 wins in the last five matches. R. Brancaccio has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Echargui leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Echargui the favourite.

The model gave M. Echargui the win at 67 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Echargui won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Echargui's last five matches

R. Brancaccio's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Echargui leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is M. Echargui's first match of the tournament. This is R. Brancaccio's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Echargui wins 51 % (40 of 78), R. Brancaccio 53 % (42 of 80). In deciding sets, M. Echargui wins 41 % of the time (81 matches), R. Brancaccio 45 % (97 matches). After losing the first set, M. Echargui turned 15 % of matches around (103 occasions), R. Brancaccio 17 % (121 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Echargui went on to win 77 % of matches, R. Brancaccio 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Echargui – R. Brancaccio

Who is the favourite between M. Echargui and R. Brancaccio?
The match is over: M. Echargui won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Echargui the favourite, priced at 1.40 against 2.67 for R. Brancaccio. Pronocast's model had M. Echargui winning at 67 %.
When is the M. Echargui – R. Brancaccio match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 17:10, at the Villena tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Echargui and R. Brancaccio?
Since 2020, M. Echargui leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Echargui – R. Brancaccio?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026