M. Soto vs S. Heredia prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has M. Soto winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner: M. Soto
Probability: Members only
Likely score: Members only

See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerCaliRound of 32clay17:00

M. Soto

S. Heredia

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Soto

S. Heredia

3 – 7
Wins – losses: 3 – 7; 7 – 15
Sets won – lost: 8 – 16; 4 losses
Current streak: 3 losses; 18-19 (49%)
2026 record: 13-16 (45%); 59-61 (49%)
Record on clay: 12-18 (40%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Soto and S. Heredia, before this match.

Recent matches

M. Soto's last five matches

DT. Seyboth WildAntofagasta 2026 · Round of 32 · 6 October 20263-6 4-6
DL. MidonCuritiba 2026 · Round of 32 · 29 September 20263-6 3-6
DM. LandaluceATP Davis Cup - World Group 2026 · 20 September 20262-6 3-6
DV. SachkoTulln 2026 · Quarter-final · 11 September 20263-6 6-1 2-6
VM. MoellerTulln 2026 · Round of 16 · 9 September 20266-4 3-6 6-0

S. Heredia's last five matches

DF. ZeballosSanta Cruz 2 2026 · Qualifying · 11 October 20264-6 6-3 3-6
DE. RibeiroAntofagasta 2026 · Round of 32 · 6 October 20263-6 4-6
DJ. E. SchiesslCuritiba 2026 · Round of 32 · 30 September 20264-6 5-7
VJ. S. OsorioCuritiba 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20267-6 5-7 6-4
VF. L. StorckCuritiba 2026 · Qualifying · 27 September 20263-6 6-3 6-1

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Soto's first match of the tournament. This is S. Heredia's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by T. Barrios Vera, who beat J. C. Prado Angelo in the final (6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, M. Soto wins 57 % of the time (40 matches), S. Heredia 27 % (15 matches). After losing the first set, M. Soto turned 14 % of matches around (80 occasions), S. Heredia 10 % (20 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Soto went on to win 87 % of matches, S. Heredia 71 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Soto – S. Heredia

Who is the favourite between M. Soto and S. Heredia?: No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has M. Soto winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the M. Soto – S. Heredia match?: On Monday, 19 October 2026 at 17:00, at the Cali tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Soto and S. Heredia?: No meeting between M. Soto and S. Heredia appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Soto – S. Heredia?: In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions