N. Jarry vs T. Barrios Vera prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has N. Jarry winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner: N. Jarry
Probability: Members only
Likely score: Members only

See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerCaliRound of 32clay17:00

N. Jarry

T. Barrios Vera

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

N. Jarry

T. Barrios Vera

3 – 7
Wins – losses: 7 – 3; 10 – 15
Sets won – lost: 16 – 9; 1 win
Current streak: 1 loss; 3-8 (27%)
2026 record: 26-28 (48%); 82-55 (60%)
Record on clay: 157-103 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by N. Jarry and T. Barrios Vera, before this match.

Recent matches

N. Jarry's last five matches

VE. MollerOeiras 3 2026 · Round of 32 · 14 April 20266-2 3-6 6-0
DJ. RodionovMadrid 2026 · Semi-final · 11 April 20267-6 6-7 6-7
VN. FaticMadrid 2026 · Quarter-final · 10 April 20266-1 6-4
VD. StrickerMadrid 2026 · Round of 16 · 9 April 20266-2 7-6
DM. BellucciMiami 2026 · Qualifying · 17 March 20263-6 1-6

T. Barrios Vera's last five matches

DM. TobonAntofagasta 2026 · Round of 16 · 8 October 20266-3 6-7 6-7
VF. RoncadelliAntofagasta 2026 · Round of 32 · 6 October 20266-4 6-2
DG. I. JustoCuritiba 2026 · Semi-final · 3 October 20266-4 4-6 3-6
VM. Pucinelli de AlmeidaCuritiba 2026 · Quarter-final · 2 October 20266-1 3-6 6-3
VJ. B. TorresCuritiba 2026 · Round of 16 · 30 September 20266-2 6-3

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is N. Jarry's first match of the tournament. This is T. Barrios Vera's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by T. Barrios Vera, who beat J. C. Prado Angelo in the final (6-1 6-4). T. Barrios Vera is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, N. Jarry wins 50 % (82 of 165), T. Barrios Vera 58 % (72 of 124). In deciding sets, N. Jarry wins 52 % of the time (100 matches), T. Barrios Vera 53 % (120 matches). After losing the first set, N. Jarry turned 28 % of matches around (129 occasions), T. Barrios Vera 18 % (137 occasions). After winning the first set, N. Jarry went on to win 86 % of matches, T. Barrios Vera 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about N. Jarry – T. Barrios Vera

Who is the favourite between N. Jarry and T. Barrios Vera?: No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has N. Jarry winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the N. Jarry – T. Barrios Vera match?: On Monday, 19 October 2026 at 17:00, at the Cali tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between N. Jarry and T. Barrios Vera?: No meeting between N. Jarry and T. Barrios Vera appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for N. Jarry – T. Barrios Vera?: In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions