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M. Trungelliti vs M. Karol prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has M. Trungelliti winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
M. Trungelliti
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerMaiaRound of 16clay12:00
M. Trungelliti
M. Trungelliti
vs
M. Karol
M. Karol

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Trungelliti
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
M. Karol
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 15
Sets won – lost
14 – 12
2 losses
Current streak
2 wins
32-28 (53%)
2026 record
10-13 (43%)
138-76 (64%)
Record on clay
25-32 (44%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Trungelliti and M. Karol, before this match.

Recent matches

M. Trungelliti's last five matches

M. Karol's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Trungelliti's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, M. Karol beat D. Blanch (6-3 3-6 6-3), then O. Krutykh (6-1 5-7 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Moller, who beat A. Martin in the final (6-4 6-1).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Trungelliti wins 49 % (55 of 113), M. Karol 42 % (23 of 55). In deciding sets, M. Trungelliti wins 59 % of the time (133 matches), M. Karol 46 % (39 matches). After losing the first set, M. Trungelliti turned 31 % of matches around (144 occasions), M. Karol 22 % (60 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Trungelliti went on to win 83 % of matches, M. Karol 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Trungelliti – M. Karol

Who is the favourite between M. Trungelliti and M. Karol?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has M. Trungelliti winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the M. Trungelliti – M. Karol match?
On Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 12:00, at the Maia tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Trungelliti and M. Karol?
No meeting between M. Trungelliti and M. Karol appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Trungelliti – M. Karol?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Maia

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 October 2026

All matches on 15 October 2026