N. Mashtakov vs M. Mrva prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
N. MashtakovM. Mrva
25.9 %74.1 %
Model favourite
M. Mrva
Probability
74 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · M. Mrva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPlovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationRound of 3212:20
1848
Elo
1985
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.37
Odds
1.28

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

N. Mashtakov
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Mrva
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 8
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
8-3 (73%)
2026 record
28-21 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by N. Mashtakov and M. Mrva, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Mrva comes in with an Elo of 1985, against 1848 for N. Mashtakov: a 136-point edge. N. Mashtakov won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Mrva won 7. N. Mashtakov has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Mrva has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Mrva the favourite.

The model gave M. Mrva the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Mrva won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

N. Mashtakov's last five matches

M. Mrva's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, N. Mashtakov beat A. Weis (6-1 6-3), then Pa. Tsitsipas (6-3 6-1). This is M. Mrva's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

After winning the first set, N. Mashtakov went on to win 90 % of matches, M. Mrva 91 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about N. Mashtakov – M. Mrva

Who is the favourite between N. Mashtakov and M. Mrva?
The match is over: M. Mrva won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Mrva the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 3.37 for N. Mashtakov. Pronocast's model had M. Mrva winning at 74 %.
When is the N. Mashtakov – M. Mrva match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 12:20, at the Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between N. Mashtakov and M. Mrva?
No meeting between N. Mashtakov and M. Mrva appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for N. Mashtakov – M. Mrva?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026