O. Baris vs A. Rybakov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

O. BarisA. Rybakov

61.4 %38.6 %

Model favourite: O. Baris
Probability: 61 %
Predicted score: 2-0
Actual score: 2-1 · O. Baris

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSan Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationQualifying20:10

O. Baris

A. Rybakov

1826
Elo: 1743; 5 / 10
Form (last 10): 5 / 10; 2
Recent matches: 3; Even
Head-to-head: Even; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

O. Baris

A. Rybakov

5 – 5
Wins – losses: 4 – 6; 12 – 11
Sets won – lost: 11 – 12; 1 win
Current streak: 1 win; 8-5 (62%)
2026 record: 9-15 (38%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by O. Baris and A. Rybakov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

O. Baris comes in with an Elo of 1826, against 1743 for A. Rybakov: a 83-point edge. O. Baris won 5 of the last ten matches, A. Rybakov won 5. O. Baris has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Rybakov has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave O. Baris the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. O. Baris won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

O. Baris's last five matches

VS. MitsuiSan Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-1 6-2
DE. ZhuTiburon 2026 · Qualifying · 14 September 20264-6 6-4 4-6
VL. ClaverieTiburon 2026 · Qualifying · 13 September 20266-4 4-6 6-2
DJ. SecordUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 23 August 20266-3 2-6 9-11
DE. ButvilasLexington 2026 · Round of 16 · 6 August 20260-6 2-6

A. Rybakov's last five matches

VK. SellSan Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-3 6-4
DR. SeggermanTiburon 2026 · Qualifying · 14 September 20266-7 3-6
VD. MartinTiburon 2026 · Qualifying · 13 September 20266-4 6-2
DO. BondingRoehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 23 August 20267-5 4-6 3-6
DC. BroomRoehampton (United Kingdom) 2026 · Round of 16 · 19 August 20265-7 3-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, O. Baris beat S. Mitsui (6-1 6-2). To reach this round, A. Rybakov beat K. Sell (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, O. Baris wins 36 % (4 of 11), A. Rybakov 44 % (31 of 71). In deciding sets, O. Baris wins 23 % of the time (13 matches), A. Rybakov 50 % (62 matches). After losing the first set, O. Baris turned 5 % of matches around (20 occasions), A. Rybakov 25 % (92 occasions). After winning the first set, O. Baris went on to win 74 % of matches, A. Rybakov 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about O. Baris – A. Rybakov

Who is the favourite between O. Baris and A. Rybakov?: The match is over: O. Baris won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had O. Baris winning at 61 %.
When is the O. Baris – A. Rybakov match?: On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 20:10, at the San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification tournament (Qualifying, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between O. Baris and A. Rybakov?: No meeting between O. Baris and A. Rybakov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for O. Baris – A. Rybakov?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions