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P. Brady vs M. Poljicak prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. BradyM. Poljicak
45.2 %54.8 %
Model favourite
M. Poljicak
Probability
55 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · M. Poljicak

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaQualifyingclay17:25
P. Brady
P. Brady
vs
M. Poljicak
M. Poljicak
1790
Elo
1881
1790
Elo on clay
1841
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.99
Odds
1.68

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Brady
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
M. Poljicak
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
16 – 6
Sets won – lost
10 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
13-9 (59%)
2026 record
20-14 (59%)
–
Record on clay
49-47 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Brady and M. Poljicak, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Poljicak comes in with an Elo of 1881, against 1790 for P. Brady: a 91-point edge. On clay, the gap is 52 points in favour of M. Poljicak. P. Brady won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Poljicak won 4. P. Brady has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Poljicak has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Poljicak the favourite.

The model gave M. Poljicak the win at 55 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Poljicak won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Brady's last five matches

M. Poljicak's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is P. Brady's first match of the tournament. This is M. Poljicak's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Brady wins 61 % (11 of 18), M. Poljicak 55 % (18 of 33). In deciding sets, P. Brady wins 28 % of the time (18 matches), M. Poljicak 45 % (44 matches). After losing the first set, P. Brady turned 13 % of matches around (24 occasions), M. Poljicak 16 % (56 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Brady went on to win 79 % of matches, M. Poljicak 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Brady – M. Poljicak

Who is the favourite between P. Brady and M. Poljicak?
The match is over: M. Poljicak won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Poljicak the favourite, priced at 1.68 against 1.99 for P. Brady. Pronocast's model had M. Poljicak winning at 55 %.
When is the P. Brady – M. Poljicak match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 17:25, at the Villena tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between P. Brady and M. Poljicak?
No meeting between P. Brady and M. Poljicak appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Brady – M. Poljicak?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026