Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

P. Henning vs I. Marrero Curbelo prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. HenningI. Marrero Curbelo
73.5 %26.5 %
Model favourite
P. Henning
Probability
74 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · P. Henning

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaQualifyingclay13:10
P. Henning
P. Henning
vs
I. Marrero Curbelo
I. Marrero Curbelo
1887
Elo
1780
1791
Elo on clay
1636
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
6
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.22
Odds
3.38

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Henning
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
I. Marrero Curbelo
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
9 – 14
Sets won – lost
12 – 15
1 win
Current streak
1 win
17-14 (55%)
2026 record
17-15 (53%)
5-8 (38%)
Record on clay
11-12 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Henning and I. Marrero Curbelo, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Henning comes in with an Elo of 1887, against 1780 for I. Marrero Curbelo: a 107-point edge. On clay, the gap is 155 points in favour of P. Henning. P. Henning won 6 of the last ten matches, I. Marrero Curbelo won 5. P. Henning has one win in the last five matches. I. Marrero Curbelo has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make P. Henning the favourite.

The model gave P. Henning the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Henning won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Henning's last five matches

I. Marrero Curbelo's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Henning beat T. Boogaard (6-2 6-7 6-3). To reach this round, I. Marrero Curbelo beat J. Sheehy (6-2 2-6 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Henning wins 47 % (8 of 17), I. Marrero Curbelo 40 % (6 of 15). In deciding sets, P. Henning wins 38 % of the time (21 matches), I. Marrero Curbelo 43 % (23 matches). After losing the first set, P. Henning turned 13 % of matches around (31 occasions), I. Marrero Curbelo 19 % (27 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Henning went on to win 86 % of matches, I. Marrero Curbelo 72 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Henning – I. Marrero Curbelo

Who is the favourite between P. Henning and I. Marrero Curbelo?
The match is over: P. Henning won 2-0. Bookmakers make P. Henning the favourite, priced at 1.22 against 3.38 for I. Marrero Curbelo. Pronocast's model had P. Henning winning at 74 %.
When is the P. Henning – I. Marrero Curbelo match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 13:10, at the Villena tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between P. Henning and I. Marrero Curbelo?
No meeting between P. Henning and I. Marrero Curbelo appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Henning – I. Marrero Curbelo?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026