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P. Henning vs T. Boogaard prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. HenningT. Boogaard
64.4 %35.6 %
Model favourite
P. Henning
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · P. Henning

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaQualifyingclay14:45
P. Henning
P. Henning
vs
T. Boogaard
T. Boogaard
1879
Elo
1669
1773
Elo on clay
1594
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
5
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.38
Odds
2.53

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Henning
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
T. Boogaard
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
3 – 7
Wins – losses
4 – 6
7 – 15
Sets won – lost
11 – 15
5 losses
Current streak
2 losses
16-14 (53%)
2026 record
5-6 (45%)
4-8 (33%)
Record on clay
1-1 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Henning and T. Boogaard, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Henning comes in with an Elo of 1879, against 1669 for T. Boogaard: a 210-point edge. On clay, the gap is 179 points in favour of P. Henning. P. Henning won 6 of the last ten matches, T. Boogaard won 5. P. Henning has no win in the last five matches. T. Boogaard has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make P. Henning the favourite.

The model gave P. Henning the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Henning won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Henning's last five matches

T. Boogaard's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is P. Henning's first match of the tournament. This is T. Boogaard's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, P. Henning turned 13 % of matches around (31 occasions), T. Boogaard 20 % (10 occasions).

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Henning – T. Boogaard

Who is the favourite between P. Henning and T. Boogaard?
The match is over: P. Henning won 2-1. Bookmakers make P. Henning the favourite, priced at 1.38 against 2.53 for T. Boogaard. Pronocast's model had P. Henning winning at 64 %.
When is the P. Henning – T. Boogaard match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 14:45, at the Villena tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between P. Henning and T. Boogaard?
No meeting between P. Henning and T. Boogaard appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Henning – T. Boogaard?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026