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P. Llamas Ruiz vs L. Nardi prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. Llamas RuizL. Nardi
62.5 %37.5 %
Model favourite
P. Llamas Ruiz
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · P. Llamas Ruiz

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaRound of 32clay18:10
P. Llamas Ruiz
P. Llamas Ruiz
vs
L. Nardi
L. Nardi
2047
Elo
1962
2088
Elo on clay
1868
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.54
Odds
2.33

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Llamas Ruiz
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
L. Nardi
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
12 – 14
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
36-20 (64%)
2026 record
14-17 (45%)
92-46 (67%)
Record on clay
44-44 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Llamas Ruiz and L. Nardi, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Llamas Ruiz comes in with an Elo of 2047, against 1962 for L. Nardi: a 85-point edge. On clay, the gap is 220 points in favour of P. Llamas Ruiz. P. Llamas Ruiz won 4 of the last ten matches, L. Nardi won 4. P. Llamas Ruiz has 3 wins in the last five matches. L. Nardi has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, P. Llamas Ruiz leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make P. Llamas Ruiz the favourite.

The model gave P. Llamas Ruiz the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Llamas Ruiz won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Llamas Ruiz's last five matches

L. Nardi's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

P. Llamas Ruiz leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is P. Llamas Ruiz's first match of the tournament. This is L. Nardi's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Llamas Ruiz wins 56 % (45 of 81), L. Nardi 45 % (51 of 114). In deciding sets, P. Llamas Ruiz wins 51 % of the time (67 matches), L. Nardi 51 % (107 matches). After losing the first set, P. Llamas Ruiz turned 22 % of matches around (79 occasions), L. Nardi 24 % (140 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Llamas Ruiz went on to win 88 % of matches, L. Nardi 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Llamas Ruiz – L. Nardi

Who is the favourite between P. Llamas Ruiz and L. Nardi?
The match is over: P. Llamas Ruiz won 2-0. Bookmakers make P. Llamas Ruiz the favourite, priced at 1.54 against 2.33 for L. Nardi. Pronocast's model had P. Llamas Ruiz winning at 62 %.
When is the P. Llamas Ruiz – L. Nardi match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 18:10, at the Villena tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between P. Llamas Ruiz and L. Nardi?
Since 2020, P. Llamas Ruiz leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Llamas Ruiz – L. Nardi?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026